Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Puzzle
Should I ship a Puzzle Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Puzzle
Of 65 developers who shipped a Puzzle Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 133 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 133 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper, while revenue is down 15% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,040) |
| Top 25% | $10k (exactly $10,343) |
| Top 5% | $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 65 |
| Released games | 195 |
| Announced | 133 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Puzzle
- effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter, Puzzle; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 16,394 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 133 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016 · $115M 
Tomb Raider Game of the Year 2013 · $104M 
HITMAN World of Assassination 2022 · $53M 
UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection 2022 · $44M 
L.A. Noire 2011 · $19M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Rise of the Tomb Raider™ | older | $29.99 | 127,316 94% | 3.8M | $115M (exactly $114,546,205) | Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral… (Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux), Nixxes) |
| | Tomb Raider Game of the Year | older | $19.99 | 173,270 95% | 5.2M | $104M (exactly $103,910,019) | Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral… (Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral Interactive (Mac), Nixxes) |
| | HITMAN World of Assassination | older | $29.99 | 58,655 87% | 1.8M | $53M (exactly $52,771,904) | IO Interactive A/S |
| | UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection | older | $49.99 | 29,422 90% | 883k | $44M (exactly $44,124,173) | Naughty Dog LLC, Iron Galaxy Studios |
| | L.A. Noire | older | $19.99 | 31,099 85% | 933k | $19M (exactly $18,650,070) | Team Bondi, Rockstar Leeds |
 | SIGNALIS | older | $19.99 | 30,601 96% | 918k | $18M (exactly $18,351,420) | rose-engine |
 | Resident Evil | older | $19.99 | 27,409 92% | 822k | $16M (exactly $16,437,177) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
 | Strange Brigade | older | $49.99 | 8,309 84% | 249k | $12M (exactly $12,461,007) | Rebellion |
 | Resident Evil 0 | older | $19.99 | 14,424 80% | 433k | $8.7M (exactly $8,650,073) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
 | The Killing Antidote | · EA | $29.99 | 7,512 88% | 225k | $6.8M (exactly $6,758,546) | MetalStar Studio |
 | POPUCOM | $19.99 | 3,432 87% | 103k | $2.1M (exactly $2,058,170) | Hypergryph | |
 | Tormented Souls 2 | $29.99 | 1,675 88% | 50k | $1.5M (exactly $1,506,998) | Dual Effect | |
 | Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered | $29.99 | 1,507 89% | 45k | $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) | Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics | |
 | Haydee 3 | $29.99 | 321 84% | 9.6k | $289k (exactly $288,804) | Haydee Interactive | |
 | ENTITY: THE BLACK DAY | $17.99 | 494 79% | 15k | $267k (exactly $266,612) | ASD Games Studio | |
 | Fear The Timeloop | $14.99 | 491 85% | 15k | $221k (exactly $220,803) | TacoEaters | |
 | Heartworm | $14.99 | 449 86% | 13k | $202k (exactly $201,915) | Vincent Adinolfi | |
 | The Ghost’s Intimate Cure | $10.99 | 437 70% | 13k | $144k (exactly $144,079) | 雪山雞白郎, SnowGBL | |
 | Breed Laboratory | $14.99 | 76 86% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $34,177) | Moey |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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