Do I ship it?

Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Precision Platformer

Of 20 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 975% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $718 → $150 → $2.4k → $359 → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 45
Announced 15
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 975% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Platformer, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,632 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered 2025 · $1.4M Cloudbuilt 2014 · $479k Protodroid DeLTA 2023 · $44k Mineirinho Director's Cut 2020 · $41k Maseylia : Echoes of the Past 2026 · $31k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered $29.99 1,507 89% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Cloudbuilt older $19.99 798 86% 24k $479k (exactly $478,561) Coilworks
Protodroid DeLTA older $19.99 74 72% 2.2k $44k (exactly $44,378) Adam Kareem
Mineirinho Director's Cut older $0.99 1,365 66% 41k $41k (exactly $40,540) Sinned Games
Maseylia : Echoes of the Past $16.99 61 80% 1.8k $31k (exactly $31,092) Sol Brothers
Agent Murphy older $4.99 47 72% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) xproject
Smells Like a Mushroom older $16.99 7 57% 210 $3.6k (exactly $3,568) Red Limb Studio
WACKY WONDERLAND WOLLOP: A 3D PLATFORMER FOR THE AGES GAME OF THE YEAR GREATEST GAME OF ALL TIME : THE GAME older $2.99 32 96% 960 $2.9k (exactly $2,870) Crazy Mike
Bonk It! $4.99 18 88% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) Slotherin
Intelektronica · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) RingoGames
Rogue Runner $5.99 12 91% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) 42nd Machine
RollBot $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Tsukoni
Car Parkour 2 Together $0.99 17 88% 510 $505 (exactly $505) cnsgames
Project Dejavu $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Noise Pattern
Chamberlore $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Deep Range Studio
Aero · EA $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) yavuz sinan aktaş

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.