Do I ship it?

GamesSimulationSimulation + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Simulation game?

Simulation + Precision Platformer

Of 122 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 80 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $24k, ×39 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 80 games are announced against 73 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 80 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Simulation + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 122
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $839 → $5.8k → $449 → $732 → $416 → $449 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Simulation + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 122
Bottom 30% $117 (exactly $117)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,551)
Developers, 2 yr 122
Released games 268
Announced 80
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Simulation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Simulation, Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, 3D Platformer, Physics
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,727 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 59 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 80 games are announced against 73 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Simulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  2. + Escape RoomStrong odds36 devs · median $3.6k · 26 announced
  3. + World War IFair23 devs · median $32k · 32 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair285 devs · median $12k · 362 announced
  5. + LGBTQ+Fair272 devs · median $9.7k · 303 announced
  6. + PinballFair27 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair672 devs · median $5.1k · 754 announced
  8. + BirdsFair19 devs · median $3.8k · 16 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair387 devs · median $3.0k · 490 announced
  10. + MusicFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 92 announced
  11. + Auto BattlerFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  12. + ProgrammingFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced

All 287 pairs on the Simulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Heavenly Bodies older $19.99 3,741 95% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,243,478) 2pt Interactive
I Am Fish older $19.99 2,917 75% 88k $1.7M (exactly $1,749,325) Bossa Studios
Climber Animals: Together older $3.99 6,014 73% 180k $720k (exactly $719,876) Devotion Interactive
Only Climb: Better Together older $4.99 2,939 54% 88k $440k (exactly $439,968) Exbyte Studios
Egging On $14.99 747 74% 22k $336k (exactly $335,926) Egobounds
JellyCar Worlds older $7.99 1,008 96% 30k $242k (exactly $241,618) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Best Forklift Operator older $19.99 224 75% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Simmersiv
Tools Up! Ultimate Edition older $34.99 111 76% 3.3k $117k (exactly $116,517) The Knights of Unity
Time Loader older $7.99 387 83% 12k $93k (exactly $92,764) Flazm
Switchball HD older $12.99 145 88% 4.4k $57k (exactly $56,506) Atomic Elbow
Only Way is Down $9.99 137 63% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,059) Jilted Generation Productions
Catch Me $5.99 178 70% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,987) Doorway Games
An Eggstremely Hard Game $4.99 196 84% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,341) BBear Studio
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Oeuf $9.99 90 94% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) increpare games
Dangerous Mountain Together $4.99 164 73% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Çağatay Demir, Doğukan Şahin
Treasure Hunters: Raid Together $9.99 58 84% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Biax
Skullbreaker $29.99 13 92% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Sharkgame
a weird game about sausage $2.99 130 90% 3.9k $12k (exactly $11,661) Madman's Cheese

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.