Games › Pinball › Pinball + Fantasy
Should I ship a Fantasy Pinball game?
Pinball + Fantasy
Only 13 developers shipped a Fantasy Pinball game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fortune Mill, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×6.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.2k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 20 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $30,130) |
| Top 5% | $890k (exactly $889,766) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Pinball
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 4,114 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 20 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Pinball with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + SimulationFair
- + AdventureFair
- + ActionFair
- + PhysicsFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + SportsFair
- + StrategyPoor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Peglin | older | $19.99 | 16,626 83% | 499k | $10M (exactly $9,970,612) | Red Nexus Games Inc. |
| | Fortune Mill | $7.99 | 3,712 81% | 111k | $890k (exactly $889,766) | Lavaflame2 | |
| | DEMON'S TILT | older | $19.99 | 962 94% | 29k | $577k (exactly $576,911) | WIZNWAR, FLARB LLC |
| | Rollers of the Realm | older | $9.99 | 375 90% | 11k | $112k (exactly $112,388) | Phantom Compass |
| | Super Cabbage Kabumi | $14.99 | 125 67% | 3.8k | $56k (exactly $56,212) | Vividesca Games | |
| | Witcheye | older | $4.99 | 233 87% | 7.0k | $35k (exactly $34,880) | Moon Kid |
| | Ricochet Abyss | · EA | $12.99 | 78 75% | 2.3k | $30k (exactly $30,397) | DreamForge |
| | Beast Breaker | $14.99 | 67 95% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | Vodeo Games, Huey Games | |
| | Runix: Pinball Roguelike | $15.99 | 40 87% | 1.2k | $19k (exactly $19,188) | Meteor Forge | |
| | The Pinball Wizard | older | $7.99 | 56 67% | 1.7k | $13k (exactly $13,423) | Frosty Pop |
| | MONUMENTUM | $3.99 | 63 95% | 1.9k | $7.5k (exactly $7,541) | Jakob Scott | |
| | Knights of the Round Peg | $11.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) | Boomzap Inc | |
| | FlipScapes | $16.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $2.5k (exactly $2,548) | OmniScapes Interactive | |
| | Pinfall | $6.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | PIXELNASU | |
| | Porn Pinball | $9.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Samejima |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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