Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Party Game

Of 20 developers who shipped a Party Game Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 64 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper, while momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 64 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $1.2k → $150 → $449 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $201k (exactly $200,799)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 40
Announced 64
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 800% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Party Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, Online Co-Op
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 48% positive over 750 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 64 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
West Hunt older $9.99 1,522 84% 46k $456k (exactly $456,143) NewGen
KILLER INN · EA $9.99 670 44% 20k $201k (exactly $200,799) Square Enix, Tactic Studios
Late For Work older $14.99 78 88% 2.3k $35k (exactly $35,077) Salmi Games
X-POINT · EA older $19.99 32 78% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Andrey Scanarri (Scanarri)
The Otterman Empire older $15.99 14 71% 420 $6.7k (exactly $6,716) Tri-Heart Interactive
Zombie Within older $9.99 21 66% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) NewGen
North Hunt $6.50 24 75% 720 $4.7k (exactly $4,680) NewGen
Catnight older $4.99 21 76% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Rubber Croc
Hoover Heroes · EA $6.99 14 100% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Kiki Games
Cannonball Crew $2.99 20 85% 600 $1.8k (exactly $1,794) Sweetbeard
Recess $9.99 4 50% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Lost Echoes Interactive
RAGDOLL UNIVERSE · EA $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) MageC
Left Fore Dead: Zombie Battle Golf $7.99 3 66% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Maple Taco
TURBOCIDE · EA $16.99 1 100% 30 $510 (exactly $510) SlovGoblin
Battle Food Mania $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) GoatFish Studios
Inkoid $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Spacecowboy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.