Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Parkour
Should I ship a Parkour Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Parkour
Only 15 developers shipped a Parkour Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Star Wars Outlaws, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×7.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $25M, ×17196 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 63 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $238 (exactly $238) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 25% | $31k (exactly $31,092) |
| Top 5% | $26M (exactly $25,759,120) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 79 |
| Announced | 63 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 34%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Parkour
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter, Parkour
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 16,148 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Watch_Dogs® 2 2016 · $143M 
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016 · $115M 
Just Cause™ 3 2015 · $62M 
UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection 2022 · $44M 
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition 2014 · $42M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Watch_Dogs® 2 | older | $49.99 | 95,242 82% | 2.9M | $143M (exactly $142,834,427) | Ubisoft |
| | Rise of the Tomb Raider™ | older | $29.99 | 127,316 94% | 3.8M | $115M (exactly $114,546,205) | Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral… (Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux), Nixxes) |
| | Just Cause™ 3 | older | $19.99 | 104,140 85% | 3.1M | $62M (exactly $62,452,758) | Avalanche Studios |
| | UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection | older | $49.99 | 29,422 90% | 883k | $44M (exactly $44,124,173) | Naughty Dog LLC, Iron Galaxy Studios |
| | Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition | older | $19.99 | 70,499 94% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $42,278,250) | United Front Games, Feral Interactive (… (United Front Games, Feral Interactive (Mac)) |
 | Watch_Dogs™ | older | $19.99 | 49,193 79% | 1.5M | $30M (exactly $29,501,042) | Ubisoft |
 | Star Wars Outlaws | $69.99 | 12,268 71% | 368k | $26M (exactly $25,759,120) | Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio | |
 | Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist | older | $19.99 | 19,309 78% | 579k | $12M (exactly $11,579,607) | Ubisoft Toronto |
 | Sunset Overdrive | older | $19.99 | 12,082 90% | 362k | $7.2M (exactly $7,245,575) | Insomniac Games, Blind Squirrel Games |
 | Tomb Raider: Anniversary | older | $8.99 | 6,644 81% | 199k | $1.8M (exactly $1,791,887) | Crystal Dynamics |
 | Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered | $29.99 | 1,507 89% | 45k | $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) | Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics | |
 | Killer Bean | · EA | $14.99 | 2,272 73% | 68k | $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) | Killer Bean Studios LLC |
 | Maseylia : Echoes of the Past | $16.99 | 61 80% | 1.8k | $31k (exactly $31,092) | Sol Brothers | |
 | Bazar Simulator: The Wan Story | $14.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | Pigeon-G | |
 | Rogue Runner | $5.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) | 42nd Machine | |
 | UNPLUG - The Game | · EA | $10.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) | GoldLime Studios |
 | RAGDOLL UNIVERSE | · EA | $4.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | MageC |
 | RollBot | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Tsukoni | |
 | Motor Racing Battle | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Liquid Meow |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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