Games › Outbreak Sim › Outbreak Sim + Sci-fi
Should I ship a Sci-fi Outbreak Sim?
Outbreak Sim + Sci-fi
Only 15 developers shipped a Sci-fi Outbreak Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Calyx, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.
Verdict: long shot, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $270, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×743 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 20 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $270 (exactly $270) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $13,041) |
| Top 5% | $353k (exactly $353,109) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1300% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Sci-fi
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Outbreak Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Economy, Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,425 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 20 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Outbreak Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RTSFair
- + ZombiesFair
- + Real Time TacticsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + Time ManagementPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
60 Parsecs! 2018 · $992k 
Calyx 2026 · EA · $353k 
Project L33T: Founders Edition 2026 · $315k 
EVOTINCTION 2024 · $156k 
Undead Inc. 2024 · $95k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 60 Parsecs! | older | $9.99 | 3,310 90% | 99k | $992k (exactly $992,007) | Robot Gentleman |
| | Calyx | · EA | $24.99 | 471 88% | 14k | $353k (exactly $353,109) | Studio 568 |
| | Project L33T: Founders Edition | $19.99 | 525 47% | 16k | $315k (exactly $314,842) | Targetpoint Interactive, Holmgard Games | |
| | EVOTINCTION | older | $29.99 | 173 86% | 5.2k | $156k (exactly $155,648) | Spikewave Games |
| | Undead Inc. | older | $19.99 | 158 27% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Rightsized Games |
 | Survivor's Notes | $6.99 | 352 91% | 11k | $74k (exactly $73,814) | MYSTERY CROWN, YESPLAY | |
 | Dead 4 Now: Bio-Weapon Simulator | $14.99 | 29 75% | 870 | $13k (exactly $13,041) | d'Evo | |
 | Last Generation: Survival | older | $19.99 | 20 50% | 600 | $12k (exactly $11,994) | Furious Dogs |
 | despatch: Entity Astray | older | $14.99 | 15 60% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | me.mento XR interactive AG |
 | Rainy City: Pandemic | older | $7.99 | 28 75% | 840 | $6.7k (exactly $6,712) | LunaBeat |
 | Biletide | $5.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,313) | Formic Games | |
 | Moonlit Nights | · EA | $2.99 | 14 64% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | Umut Bora |
 | SNOTROCKET™ | · EA | $3.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $838 (exactly $838) | Sunscorched Studios |
 | Vanishing In The Island Halphéra | $8.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | Soghoxal | |
 | Now | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Fetih Emirkulu | |
 | Signal Zero | $2.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Hollow Frame |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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