Do I ship it?

Games › Outbreak Sim › Outbreak Sim + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Outbreak Sim Resource Management game?

Outbreak Sim + Resource Management

Of 24 developers who shipped an Outbreak Sim Resource Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $10k, ×22 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $790k, ×1682 the market median. Revenue is up 760% on the market; 43 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 21.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 760% on the market, 43 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Outbreak Sim + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $34k → $0 → $1.8k → $2.4k (still earning) → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Outbreak Sim + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $10k (exactly $10,343)
Top 25% $124k (exactly $123,538)
Top 5% $799k (exactly $798,756)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 47
Announced 43
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 760% on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Outbreak Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Outbreak Sim, Resource Management; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Base Building
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 6,461 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $790k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Outbreak Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RTSFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  2. + ZombiesFair45 devs · median $1.9k · 49 announced
  3. + Real Time TacticsFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  6. + Sci-fiLong shot15 devs · median $270 · 20 announced
  7. + City BuilderPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 16 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds22 devs · median $13k · 30 announced
  9. + ManagementPoor odds26 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Life SimPoor odds16 devs · median $6.1k · 26 announced
  11. + Time ManagementPoor odds12 devs · median $4.3k · 19 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds19 devs · median $4.0k · 28 announced

All 41 pairs on the Outbreak Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Survival Log 2026 · $893k After Inc: Revival 2026 · $799k Calyx 2026 · EA · $353k Zombie Cure Lab 2025 · $295k CURE - A Hospital Simulator 2025 · EA · $249k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Survival Log $10.99 2,709 82% 81k $893k (exactly $893,157) Midnight Workshop
After Inc: Revival $17.99 1,480 77% 44k $799k (exactly $798,756) Ndemic Creations
Calyx · EA $24.99 471 88% 14k $353k (exactly $353,109) Studio 568
Zombie Cure Lab $24.99 393 65% 12k $295k (exactly $294,632) Thera Bytes GmbH
CURE - A Hospital Simulator · EA $9.99 830 86% 25k $249k (exactly $248,751) Sentinel Games
Mad Tower Tycoon older $14.99 413 77% 12k $186k (exactly $185,726) Eggcode
Rogue AI Simulator older $11.99 364 82% 11k $131k (exactly $130,931) Nerdook Productions
Extinction Day $19.99 206 74% 6.2k $124k (exactly $123,538) DryGin Studios
Undead Inc. older $19.99 158 27% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Rightsized Games
Repterra $19.99 122 90% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Chute Apps
ZOMBUTCHER: Monster Business Simulator $12.99 135 69% 4.1k $53k (exactly $52,610) ODIUS
Genesis of a Small God $17.99 61 80% 1.8k $33k (exactly $32,922) Pierre Nury
Post-Apo Builder $9.99 54 37% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Septarian Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.