Do I ship it?

Games › Survival Horror › Survival Horror + Outbreak Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Outbreak Sim Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Outbreak Sim

Of 22 developers who shipped an Outbreak Sim Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $420. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 24 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Outbreak Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $955 → $718 → $958 → $1.1k (still earning) → $73k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Outbreak Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $420 (exactly $420)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,892)
Top 5% $175k (exactly $174,814)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 54
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Outbreak Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror, Outbreak Sim; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Survival, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 63% positive over 17,710 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $960, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  11. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  12. + Social DeductionPoor odds14 devs · median $18k · 17 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

No More Room in Hell 2 2026 · $15M Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville 2015 · $668k MOLDRISE 2026 · $175k Infinite Lives 2025 · $98k Repterra 2026 · $73k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
No More Room in Hell 2 $29.99 16,725 62% 502k $15M (exactly $15,047,482) Torn Banner Studios
Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville older $14.99 1,486 86% 45k $668k (exactly $668,254) Northway Games, Sarah Northway
MOLDRISE $11.99 486 96% 15k $175k (exactly $174,814) Raffaele Picca
Infinite Lives $14.99 217 76% 6.5k $98k (exactly $97,585) MDickie
Repterra $19.99 122 90% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Chute Apps
COVID: The Outbreak older $13.99 85 70% 2.6k $36k (exactly $35,674) Jujubee S.A.
Z-Collapse older $12.99 87 73% 2.6k $34k (exactly $33,904) Pok&Co
The Backrooms Project · EA older $9.99 106 63% 3.2k $32k (exactly $31,768) 3AM Studios
Outbreak older $9.99 103 66% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,869) Dead Drop Studios LLC
Zero Tolerance older $11.99 65 80% 2.0k $23k (exactly $23,380) Technopop
FLESHBREAK $4.99 82 37% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,275) Horubrain Interactive
Zombies Attack $4.99 26 100% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Liao Kai, LKK GAME
Deadwalker Chronicles · EA $12.99 9 33% 270 $3.5k (exactly $3,507) Black Phoenix Studio
STAND: Survive, Team-up, And Never Die $1.99 31 67% 930 $1.9k (exactly $1,851) Studio Jylko
The Long Winter: I Am Not an Animal $7.99 6 33% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Playnova
2 Hours Later $5.99 6 16% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) SevenGHON

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.