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Should I ship an Outbreak Sim City Builder?
City Builder + Outbreak Sim
Only 10 developers shipped an Outbreak Sim City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, After Inc: Revival, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $16k, ×26 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $790k, ×1272 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) |
|---|---|
| Median | $16k (exactly $16,184) |
| Top 25% | $73k (exactly $73,163) |
| Top 5% | $799k (exactly $798,756) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- City Builder
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- City Builder, Outbreak Sim
- Price point
- $12.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 2,137 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelStrong odds
- + LogicFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + RacingLong shot
- + RomePoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
Infection Free Zone 2024 · EA · $12M 
After Inc: Revival 2026 · $799k 
Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville 2015 · $668k 
Zombie Cure Lab 2025 · $295k 
Mad Tower Tycoon 2020 · $186k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Infection Free Zone | · EA older | $24.99 | 16,568 80% | 497k | $12M (exactly $12,421,030) | Jutsu Games |
| | After Inc: Revival | $17.99 | 1,480 77% | 44k | $799k (exactly $798,756) | Ndemic Creations | |
| | Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville | older | $14.99 | 1,486 86% | 45k | $668k (exactly $668,254) | Northway Games, Sarah Northway |
| | Zombie Cure Lab | $24.99 | 393 65% | 12k | $295k (exactly $294,632) | Thera Bytes GmbH | |
| | Mad Tower Tycoon | older | $14.99 | 413 77% | 12k | $186k (exactly $185,726) | Eggcode |
 | Undead Inc. | older | $19.99 | 158 27% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Rightsized Games |
 | Quarantineer | older | $9.99 | 307 80% | 9.2k | $92k (exactly $92,008) | Papaonn |
 | Repterra | $19.99 | 122 90% | 3.7k | $73k (exactly $73,163) | Chute Apps | |
 | Rebirth evolution | older | $8.99 | 125 61% | 3.8k | $34k (exactly $33,712) | 异界游网络科技 |
 | Genesis of a Small God | $17.99 | 61 80% | 1.8k | $33k (exactly $32,922) | Pierre Nury | |
 | Post-Apo Builder | $9.99 | 54 37% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | Septarian Games | |
 | Apocalypse Factory | · EA | $9.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Mind Leak |
 | 英雄荣光医院 | $6.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) | Areas R | |
 | Dead Night Highway | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Mr. Pink | |
 | World War Forex | · EA | $12.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $390 (exactly $390) | Leobot Electronics, Leon Botha, INESSOFT |
 | Lord Of Anatolia | $3.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | Mustafa Aykut Karacan |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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