Games › Simulation › Simulation + Ninja
Should I ship a Ninja Simulation game?
Simulation + Ninja
Only 15 developers shipped a Ninja Simulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fight School Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $68k, ×108 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $629 (exactly $629) |
| Top 25% | $2.5k (exactly $2,507) |
| Top 5% | $68k (exactly $68,032) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 63 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Ninja
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Simulation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Character Customization
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 454 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Simulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomStrong odds
- + World War IFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + PinballFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + BirdsFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + MusicFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + ProgrammingFair
Comparable games
Fallen Shinobi SS. 2023 · $437k 
Fruit Ninja VR 2016 · $360k 
Ninja Village 2022 · $147k 
NEKO-NIN exHeart 2 2018 · $84k 
NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Soutenroku with Power Up Kit 2017 · $76k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Fallen Shinobi SS. | older | $14.99 | 971 92% | 29k | $437k (exactly $436,659) | marron☆marron |
| | Fruit Ninja VR | older | $14.99 | 801 80% | 24k | $360k (exactly $360,210) | Halfbrick Studios Pty Ltd |
| | Ninja Village | older | $8.99 | 546 93% | 16k | $147k (exactly $147,256) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd |
| | NEKO-NIN exHeart 2 | older | $9.99 | 279 95% | 8.4k | $84k (exactly $83,616) | Whirlpool |
| | NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Soutenroku with Power Up Kit | older | $29.99 | 85 62% | 2.6k | $76k (exactly $76,474) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Fight School Simulator | $9.99 | 227 88% | 6.8k | $68k (exactly $68,032) | Queen | |
 | Tricking 0 | · EA older | $19.99 | 107 89% | 3.2k | $64k (exactly $64,168) | Full-in Studios |
 | Ninja Tycoon | older | $4.99 | 350 69% | 11k | $52k (exactly $52,395) | Endless Loop Studios |
 | Pro Gymnast Simulator | older | $14.99 | 105 92% | 3.2k | $47k (exactly $47,218) | Walaber Entertainment LLC |
 | Old Coin Pusher Friends | older | $3.99 | 351 89% | 11k | $42k (exactly $42,015) | STP WORKS |
 | Loli Ninja Village | $6.99 | 92 80% | 2.8k | $19k (exactly $19,292) | PAON, 072 Localize | |
 | Ninja Ming: Wu | $1.99 | 48 100% | 1.4k | $2.9k (exactly $2,866) | 1 Poss Studio | |
 | Peak | $1.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $2.5k (exactly $2,507) | Three Hands Co | |
 | TrainingTiles | $9.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | HumanBionics, Jhohan Hernandez | |
 | NatsumeRyoran - Romance of Hi-Spec Yoko - | $24.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $1.5k (exactly $1,499) | CyberStep, Inc. | |
 | 挂机修仙之我能合成功法！ | $0.99 | 29 44% | 870 | $861 (exactly $861) | 99 Game Studio | |
 | Sengoku Logic - Kumamoto Castle | $6.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | acdea computer | |
 | Ryuu's Sin - A Bara Stealth Game | $8.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | Male Doll | |
 | Backflip Madness 2 | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Hubert Śliwka |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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