Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Naval
Should I ship a Naval Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Naval
Only 7 developers shipped a Naval Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Age of Water, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $810 against a market of $1.5k. 10 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $807 (exactly $807) |
| Top 25% | $50k (exactly $50,097) |
| Top 5% | $2.6M (exactly $2,593,835) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Naval
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 37,601 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 10 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Holdfast: Nations At War 2020 · $16M 
Azur Lane Crosswave 2020 · $7.8M 
Age of Water 2025 · $2.6M 
Boat Crew 2022 · EA · $323k 
The Falconeer: Revolution Remaster 2020 · $249k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Holdfast: Nations At War | older | $19.99 | 26,624 90% | 799k | $16M (exactly $15,966,413) | Anvil Game Studios |
| | Azur Lane Crosswave | older | $39.99 | 6,537 68% | 196k | $7.8M (exactly $7,842,439) | IDEA FACTORY, COMPILE HEART, FELISTELLA |
| | Age of Water | $29.99 | 2,883 72% | 86k | $2.6M (exactly $2,593,835) | Three Whales Studio | |
| | Boat Crew | · EA older | $24.99 | 431 89% | 13k | $323k (exactly $323,121) | Tabbing Tabby |
| | The Falconeer: Revolution Remaster | older | $19.99 | 416 81% | 12k | $249k (exactly $249,475) | Tomas Sala |
 | Waves of Steel | older | $19.99 | 408 90% | 12k | $245k (exactly $244,678) | TMA Games LLC |
 | ShipCrafter | · EA | $7.99 | 209 90% | 6.3k | $50k (exactly $50,097) | Myrmecoman |
 | 1971: Indian Naval Front | older | $14.99 | 57 68% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $25,633) | Neosphere Interactive Studios |
 | Survival Africa | older | $16.99 | 22 36% | 660 | $11k (exactly $11,213) | MeanDean |
 | Boaty Tanks | older | $9.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | EpiXR Games UG |
 | Tigershark | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | N-Space | |
 | FEBA Gunship R | $2.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $807 (exactly $807) | rucsgames | |
 | Airplane Flight Simulator : Combat Zone | $14.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Ovilex Software | |
 | Master Hanzi | $3.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | MasterHanzi | |
 | Battleships Simulator | · EA | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Hard Shark Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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