Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Nature
Should I ship a Nature Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Nature
Of 37 developers who shipped a Nature Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 67 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $179 (exactly $179) |
| Top 25% | $980 (exactly $980) |
| Top 5% | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 37 |
| Released games | 95 |
| Announced | 67 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,786 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sapphire Safari | · EA | $12.99 | 1,653 92% | 50k | $644k (exactly $644,174) | Kinky Fridays |
| | Potentia | older | $19.99 | 350 68% | 11k | $210k (exactly $209,895) | Wily Pumpkin |
| | Erzurum | older | $0.99 | 4,358 42% | 131k | $129k (exactly $129,433) | Proximity Games |
| | VERGE:Lost chapter | older | $0.99 | 2,874 52% | 86k | $85k (exactly $85,358) | GDNomaD |
| | Tamarin | older | $29.99 | 78 60% | 2.3k | $70k (exactly $70,177) | Chameleon Games |
| | Amok Runner | older | $9.99 | 185 60% | 5.6k | $55k (exactly $55,444) | Gamedeus |
| | Protodroid DeLTA | older | $19.99 | 74 72% | 2.2k | $44k (exactly $44,378) | Adam Kareem |
| | Lorena and the Land of Ruins | older | $14.99 | 90 71% | 2.7k | $40k (exactly $40,473) | Shimenawan |
| | Outbreak: Contagious Memories | older | $29.99 | 30 63% | 900 | $27k (exactly $26,991) | Dead Drop Studios LLC |
| | Turbo Chicken Simulator | · EA older | $14.99 | 41 87% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $18,438) | Balkanware |
| | Skyfear | · EA | $14.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) | Protoria Studios |
| | Primeval Genesis | · EA | $14.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | After Hours Digital |
| | Organic Burger Simulator | · EA | $14.99 | 12 58% | 360 | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) | Mehmet Bilici, Hüseyin Doğan |
| | Folk Tales: Alageyik | · EA | $9.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Sanghı Studios |
| | Bonk It! | $4.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | Slotherin | |
| | In Search of Freedom | $10.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) | Pierucci Studios | |
| | Day Breaker - Awakening Code | · EA | $6.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) | KhadijaDev |
| | Hive Havoc 3D | $3.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) | Digital Dialysis Softworks | |
| | The Isolated | · EA | $0.99 | 33 66% | 990 | $980 (exactly $980) | STuNT |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.