Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Modern
Should I ship a Modern-Day Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Modern
Of 24 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×556 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 55 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,319) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $13,486) |
| Top 5% | $833k (exactly $833,166) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 80 |
| Announced | 55 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Modern
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Cinematic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 112,932 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Resident Evil Requiem 2026 · $225M 
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® II 2022 · $56M 
Alpha Protocol™ 2010 · $2.1M 
Tomb Raider: Legend 2007 · $1.1M 
Into The Flames 2023 · $928k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Resident Evil Requiem | $69.99 | 106,931 95% | 3.2M | $225M (exactly $224,523,021) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
| | Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® II | older | $69.99 | 26,543 45% | 796k | $56M (exactly $55,732,337) | Infinity Ward, Raven Software, Beenox,… (Infinity Ward, Raven Software, Beenox, Treyarch, High Moon Studios, Sledgehammer Games, Demonware, Toys for Bob) |
| | Alpha Protocol™ | older | $19.99 | 3,420 83% | 103k | $2.1M (exactly $2,050,974) | Obsidian Entertainment |
| | Tomb Raider: Legend | older | $6.99 | 5,430 87% | 163k | $1.1M (exactly $1,138,671) | Crystal Dynamics |
| | Into The Flames | older | $19.99 | 1,548 80% | 46k | $928k (exactly $928,336) | Fully Involved Game Studios |
 | Instruments of Destruction | older | $19.99 | 1,429 91% | 43k | $857k (exactly $856,971) | Radiangames |
 | 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau | $9.99 | 2,780 92% | 83k | $833k (exactly $833,166) | Noto Muteki | |
 | Last Remains | · EA | $19.99 | 914 51% | 27k | $548k (exactly $548,126) | Earn Alliance |
 | Grandpa High on Retro | $7.99 | 2,068 88% | 62k | $496k (exactly $495,700) | Ashnell Games | |
 | GunSoul Girl 2 | · EA older | $9.99 | 939 73% | 28k | $281k (exactly $281,418) | MoeGame |
 | Antikiller | $8.99 | 56 64% | 1.7k | $15k (exactly $15,103) | Qbik Interactive | |
 | Shadows of Soldiers | $9.99 | 45 75% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | Ghost in the Wire | |
 | Maelstrom: The Battle for Earth Begins Enhanced | $6.99 | 33 75% | 990 | $6.9k (exactly $6,920) | KDV Games | |
 | Great Tough Bikini 6 | $2.99 | 74 70% | 2.2k | $6.6k (exactly $6,638) | nStarcube | |
 | Climber Girl | $7.99 | 19 36% | 570 | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) | AlterLab Development | |
 | Bridge Hunter | · EA | $9.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Double Light |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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