Should I ship a War MMORPG?
MMORPG + War
Only 2 developers shipped a paid War MMORPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 5 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 30 more are announced, ×30 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $110k against a market of $1.3k. 30 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $327 (exactly $327) |
| Top 25% | $111k (exactly $110,589) |
| Top 5% | $14M (exactly $13,963,344) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 81%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MMORPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 7 games average 71% positive over 89,141 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×30 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MMORPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + MagicPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
Comparable games
Black Desert 2017 · $19M 
Myth of Empires 2024 · $14M 
Naval Action 2019 · $6.1M 
Camelot Unchained 2026 · EA · $111k 
Gverse 2023 · EA · $327 | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Black Desert | older | $9.99 | 63,052 75% | 1.9M | $19M (exactly $18,896,684) | Pearl Abyss |
| | Myth of Empires | older | $29.99 | 15,520 68% | 466k | $14M (exactly $13,963,344) | Angela Game |
| | Naval Action | older | $19.99 | 10,187 52% | 306k | $6.1M (exactly $6,109,144) | Bermuda Computer Club |
| | Camelot Unchained | · EA | $9.99 | 369 38% | 11k | $111k (exactly $110,589) | Unchained Entertainment |
| | Gverse | · EA older | $0.99 | 11 45% | 330 | $327 (exactly $327) | GalaxyVerse |
 | GGO 枪战火线 | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | 布工作室, Cloth Studio | |
 | Fallen Sky -Online- | older | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Marco Braun |
 | The Fallen Night | · EA older | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | ATEG |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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