Do I ship it?

GamesMMORPGMMORPG + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG MMORPG?

MMORPG + Tactical RPG

Only 6 developers shipped a paid Tactical RPG MMORPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gnome Online, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 57 more are announced, ×29 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $900 against a market of $1.3k. 57 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 57 announced, ×29 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 5% $67k (exactly $66,923)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 69
Announced 57
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 71%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, Tactical RPG
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 690 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $66k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×29 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gnome Online $17.99 124 73% 3.7k $67k (exactly $66,923) H-Production
Para Ark older $6.99 148 91% 4.4k $31k (exactly $31,036) ST Hot Dog King
Hollow's Land older $4.99 195 66% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,192) Relax Minimalism
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
仙途世界 older $29.99 16 87% 480 $14k (exactly $14,395) Deep Cave
Survival Africa older $16.99 22 36% 660 $11k (exactly $11,213) MeanDean
Savage: Ultimate Boss Fight older $4.99 64 98% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) SavageDev
Blue Epic · EA older $14.99 12 41% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Whitewater Pacific
Human Madness older $7.99 9 11% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) The One
Starting Life In Another World Naked · EA older $7.99 9 66% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) AsGLeague Studios
Catolonizer · EA $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Alin Games
Stellar Odyssey · EA $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Warp Studios Pty Ltd
Mythic Manager · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Oracle Algorithms
Ambasu · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Ekofi Gaming
League of Immortals $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Inferno Entertainment LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.