Do I ship it?

GamesMMORPGMMORPG + Tactical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical MMORPG?

MMORPG + Tactical

Only 4 developers shipped a paid Tactical MMORPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 5 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 21 more are announced, ×21 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $13k against a market of $1.3k. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 10.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 21 announced, ×21 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + Tactical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + Tactical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,495)
Top 5% $65k (exactly $65,367)
Developers, 4 yr 5
Released games 37
Announced 21
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 73%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, Tactical
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 9 games average 72% positive over 77,225 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $180, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $65k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×21 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tom Clancy’s The Division™ older $29.99 76,985 72% 2.3M $69M (exactly $69,263,404) Massive Entertainment
Reaper Actual · EA $19.99 109 42% 3.3k $65k (exactly $65,367) Distinct Possibility Studios, Inc.
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
The Dawn: Sniper's Way $24.99 18 22% 540 $13k (exactly $13,495) PHOSPHORUS GAMES
Dead Survival · EA older $14.99 16 12% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) BiKouZ
GameZero older $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Tomas
Подвиги древних Русов older $1.99 3 66% 90 $179 (exactly $179) MomentGameStudio
GGO 枪战火线 $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 布工作室, Cloth Studio
Ambasu · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Ekofi Gaming

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.