Games › MMORPG › MMORPG + Simulation
Should I ship a Simulation MMORPG?
MMORPG + Simulation
Only 11 developers shipped a paid Simulation MMORPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MMO98, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 84 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.9 the market's $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $510; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×80 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 84 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $505 (exactly $505) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 25% | $13k (exactly $12,529) |
| Top 5% | $107k (exactly $107,157) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 146 |
| Announced | 84 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 57%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- MMORPG
- effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
- Simulation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MMORPG, Simulation
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 71% positive over 761 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $510. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + MagicPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
Comparable games
Naval Action 2019 · $6.1M 
Dark and Light 2017 · EA · $5.7M 
Life is Feudal: Your Own 2015 · $5.3M 
Day of Dragons 2019 · EA · $3.8M 
Next Day: Survival 2018 · $2.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Naval Action | older | $19.99 | 10,187 52% | 306k | $6.1M (exactly $6,109,144) | Bermuda Computer Club |
| | Dark and Light | · EA older | $17.99 | 10,577 51% | 317k | $5.7M (exactly $5,708,407) | Snail Games USA |
| | Life is Feudal: Your Own | older | $19.99 | 8,804 65% | 264k | $5.3M (exactly $5,279,759) | Bitbox Ltd. |
| | Day of Dragons | · EA older | $19.99 | 6,278 68% | 188k | $3.8M (exactly $3,764,917) | Beawesome Games |
| | Next Day: Survival | older | $9.99 | 8,623 62% | 259k | $2.6M (exactly $2,584,313) | SOFF Games |
 | Boundless | older | $19.99 | 1,611 73% | 48k | $966k (exactly $966,117) | Monumental, LLC |
 | Initial Drift Online | older | $4.99 | 3,206 77% | 96k | $480k (exactly $479,938) | RewindApp |
 | Draconia | · EA older | $19.99 | 798 64% | 24k | $479k (exactly $478,561) | Draconia Dev Team |
 | Paw Patrol: On A Roll! | older | $29.99 | 345 84% | 10k | $310k (exactly $310,396) | Torus Games |
 | Xsyon - Prelude | · EA older | $29.99 | 307 69% | 9.2k | $276k (exactly $276,208) | Notorious Games |
 | MMO98 | $6.99 | 511 69% | 15k | $107k (exactly $107,157) | BiteMe Games | |
 | Adventure Land - The Code MMORPG | $14.99 | 144 84% | 4.3k | $65k (exactly $64,757) | Wizard | |
 | Wild Alone | $10.99 | 38 47% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,529) | Wild Alone 21 | |
 | Upgradia | · EA | $9.99 | 32 65% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | Mytharia |
 | City of Cats | · EA | $14.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | Screaming Cat Studios |
 | 猎人修仙传 Hunter Immortal | $7.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | blues | |
 | Mythic Manager | · EA | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Oracle Algorithms |
 | Your Ex | $0.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $505 (exactly $505) | workflowstd | |
 | Earth Online | · EA | $1.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $478 (exactly $478) | Galaxy Craft |
 | KunlunWonderland | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | He WenYuan |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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