Games › MMORPG › MMORPG + Sci-fi
Should I ship a Sci-fi MMORPG?
MMORPG + Sci-fi
Only 5 developers shipped a paid Sci-fi MMORPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STARSEEKER: Astroneer Expeditions, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 58 more are announced, ×19 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.3k against a market of $1.3k. 58 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) |
| Top 25% | $290k (exactly $289,703) |
| Top 5% | $720k (exactly $719,760) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 58 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 72%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MMORPG
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 10 games average 66% positive over 1,954 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 58 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×19 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MMORPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + MagicPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
Comparable games
STARSEEKER: Astroneer Expeditions 2026 · EA · $720k 
Stars Reach 2026 · EA · $290k 
SPACERIFT: Arcanum System 2020 · EA · $160k 
The Infinite Black 2 2023 · $42k 
Para Ark 2023 · $31k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | STARSEEKER: Astroneer Expeditions | · EA | $29.99 | 800 56% | 24k | $720k (exactly $719,760) | System Era Softworks |
| | Stars Reach | · EA | $29.99 | 322 52% | 9.7k | $290k (exactly $289,703) | Playable Worlds, Inc. |
| | SPACERIFT: Arcanum System | · EA older | $12.90 | 413 77% | 12k | $160k (exactly $159,831) | Arcanum Team |
| | The Infinite Black 2 | older | $6.99 | 201 87% | 6.0k | $42k (exactly $42,150) | Spellbook |
| | Para Ark | older | $6.99 | 148 91% | 4.4k | $31k (exactly $31,036) | ST Hot Dog King |
 | Abyss | · EA older | $24.95 | 34 58% | 1.0k | $25k (exactly $25,449) | Old World Labs |
 | Venator Universe | · EA | $4.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Fullset Gaming |
 | Fish Bone | · EA older | $15.99 | 5 40% | 150 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Oppiz Studio |
 | ROOT | · EA older | $19.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | SJR Team |
 | Between Two Stars | · EA older | $5.99 | 6 50% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | AdamGreen.tech |
 | Stellar Odyssey | · EA | $14.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Warp Studios Pty Ltd |
 | KunlunWonderland | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | He WenYuan |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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