Games › MMORPG › MMORPG + Roguelike
Should I ship a Roguelike MMORPG?
MMORPG + Roguelike
Only 3 developers shipped a paid Roguelike MMORPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 9 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 18 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $240 against a market of $1.3k. 18 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $239 (exactly $239) |
| Top 25% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 5% | $4.3M (exactly $4,327,268) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.
Free games: 66%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MMORPG, Roguelike
- Price point
- $3.00 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 8 games average 73% positive over 6,137 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 2 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + MagicPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
Comparable games
《蜀山：初章》买断版 2022 · $4.3M 
The Yellow King 2020 · EA · $53k 
Arcane Vale 2022 · $53k 
猎人修仙传 Hunter Immortal 2026 · $1.2k 
ChaosWorld 2023 · $897 | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 《蜀山：初章》买断版 | older | $24.99 | 5,772 74% | 173k | $4.3M (exactly $4,327,268) | 重楼工作室 |
| | The Yellow King | · EA older | $8.99 | 195 46% | 5.9k | $53k (exactly $52,592) | Spellbook |
| | Arcane Vale | older | $11.99 | 146 73% | 4.4k | $53k (exactly $52,516) | Dynamic Zero |
| | 猎人修仙传 Hunter Immortal | $7.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | blues | |
| | ChaosWorld | older | $2.99 | 10 20% | 300 | $897 (exactly $897) | Dust Studios |
 | Yuki Onna: Snowball Fight! | $1.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | YStar | |
 | 三国世界 - TKWORLD | older | $1.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | 陈世杰 |
 | World Of Mana | older | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | SANGWOO LEE |
 | Dungeon door | $3.00 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Daniel.Co | |
 | QChat | older | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Qi Game |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.