Do I ship it?

GamesMMORPGMMORPG + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Resource Management MMORPG?

MMORPG + Resource Management

Only 4 developers shipped a paid Resource Management MMORPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 6 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 24 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $110k against a market of $1.3k. 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 79.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 24 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $4.2k (exactly $4,200)
Median $4.9k (exactly $4,940)
Top 25% $107k (exactly $107,157)
Top 5% $111k (exactly $110,589)
Developers, 4 yr 6
Released games 30
Announced 24
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 77%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, Resource Management
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 7 games average 57% positive over 938 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.2k, median $4.9k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.2k. 24 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Camelot Unchained · EA $9.99 369 38% 11k $111k (exactly $110,589) Unchained Entertainment
MMO98 $6.99 511 69% 15k $107k (exactly $107,157) BiteMe Games
Pillazon: MMO Drug Lord Tycoon · EA older $4.99 33 66% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) PiCorp
仙途 older $29.99 5 100% 150 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) Deep Cave
Legends of Aria Eternal $20.00 7 71% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,200) Emergent Worlds
Fawe $6.99 11 72% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Jansen Bros Games
Lords of the Shattered Kingdom · EA older $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Neuralsoft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.