Do I ship it?

GamesMMORPGMMORPG + Party-Based RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party-Based RPG MMORPG?

MMORPG + Party-Based RPG

Only 8 developers shipped a paid Party-Based RPG MMORPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fellowship, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 53 more are announced, ×13 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.0k against a market of $1.3k. 53 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 193600% on the market, 53 announced, ×13 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + Party-Based RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + Party-Based RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 25% $65k (exactly $64,757)
Top 5% $12M (exactly $11,513,143)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 60
Announced 53
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 193595% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 67%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, Party-Based RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 16,148 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $64k, 1 in 20 over $11M.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×13 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fellowship · EA $24.99 15,357 74% 461k $12M (exactly $11,513,143) Chief Rebel
Adventure Land - The Code MMORPG $14.99 144 84% 4.3k $65k (exactly $64,757) Wizard
The Wolf older $9.99 186 68% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) Good Luck Games
The Yellow King · EA older $8.99 195 46% 5.9k $53k (exactly $52,592) Spellbook
Fantasy Online 2 · EA $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) Pixel Games LLC
Cellyon: Boss Confrontation older $17.99 36 75% 1.1k $19k (exactly $19,429) Sentry Games
仙途世界 older $29.99 16 87% 480 $14k (exactly $14,395) Deep Cave
Blue Epic · EA older $14.99 12 41% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Whitewater Pacific
Sojo · EA older $5.99 19 73% 570 $3.4k (exactly $3,414) bagoDev LLC
Kalnazar $9.99 10 70% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) RobotsGames
Mythic Manager · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Oracle Algorithms
Ambasu · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Ekofi Gaming
Ferral Quest $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) ZonaBit's Games
League of Immortals $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Inferno Entertainment LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.