Do I ship it?

GamesMMORPGMMORPG + MOBA

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an MOBA MMORPG?

MMORPG + MOBA

Only 2 developers shipped a paid MOBA MMORPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 5 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 19 more are announced, ×19 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $1.3k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 19 announced, ×19 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + MOBA
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + MOBA: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,552)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,498)
Top 5% $26M (exactly $25,530,428)
Developers, 4 yr 5
Released games 33
Announced 19
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 76%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, MOBA
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 7 games average 84% positive over 42,699 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $25M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×19 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER older $19.99 42,572 84% 1.3M $26M (exactly $25,530,428) Soleil Ltd.
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
仙途 older $29.99 5 100% 150 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) Deep Cave
Raiding.Zone · EA older $1.99 26 76% 780 $1.6k (exactly $1,552) Lukas Meisegeier
骸亡禁决:Skeleton King older $1.99 3 0% 90 $179 (exactly $179) 古德模型, goodmoxing
GGO 枪战火线 $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 布工作室, Cloth Studio
KunlunWonderland $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) He WenYuan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.