Do I ship it?

GamesMMORPGMMORPG + Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Management MMORPG?

MMORPG + Management

Only 5 developers shipped a paid Management MMORPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MMO98, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 21 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $600 against a market of $1.3k. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 21 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $505 (exactly $505)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $8.3k (exactly $8,342)
Top 5% $107k (exactly $107,157)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 29
Announced 21
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 66%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, Management
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 8 games average 70% positive over 666 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $510, median $600, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $510. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MMO98 $6.99 511 69% 15k $107k (exactly $107,157) BiteMe Games
The Auto Sort Is Broken $2.99 93 80% 2.8k $8.3k (exactly $8,342) Fractal Projects
Pillazon: MMO Drug Lord Tycoon · EA older $4.99 33 66% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) PiCorp
Between Two Stars · EA older $5.99 6 50% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) AdamGreen.tech
Girl X Island older $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) MitaGame3D
Mythic Manager · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Oracle Algorithms
Cheese Co-op Clicker Simulator $0.99 17 76% 510 $505 (exactly $505) asxgames
Ambasu · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Ekofi Gaming
Death Trading Card Game older $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Death

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.