Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Military
Should I ship a Military Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Military
Of 92 developers who shipped a Military Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 184 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $420, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 184 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 45% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $419 (exactly $419) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Top 5% | $833k (exactly $833,166) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 92 |
| Released games | 360 |
| Announced | 184 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Military
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Combat
- Price point
- $5.00 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 31,918 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 66 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 184 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Arma 3 2013 · $206M 
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands 2017 · $149M 
Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition 2021 · $112M 
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint 2023 · $80M 
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® II 2022 · $56M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Arma 3 | older | $29.99 | 228,910 90% | 6.9M | $206M (exactly $205,950,327) | Bohemia Interactive |
| | Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands | older | $49.99 | 99,590 78% | 3.0M | $149M (exactly $149,355,123) | Ubisoft Paris, Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft… (Ubisoft Paris, Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Milan, Reflections, Ubisoft Belgrade) |
| | Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition | older | $59.99 | 62,205 91% | 1.9M | $112M (exactly $111,950,338) | BioWare |
| | Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint | older | $59.99 | 44,635 72% | 1.3M | $80M (exactly $80,329,610) | Ubisoft Paris |
| | Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® II | older | $69.99 | 26,543 45% | 796k | $56M (exactly $55,732,337) | Infinity Ward, Raven Software, Beenox,… (Infinity Ward, Raven Software, Beenox, Treyarch, High Moon Studios, Sledgehammer Games, Demonware, Toys for Bob) |
 | Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2 | older | $29.99 | 32,600 79% | 978k | $29M (exactly $29,330,220) | Ubisoft |
 | METAL GEAR SOLID Δ: SNAKE EATER | $49.99 | 13,554 82% | 407k | $20M (exactly $20,326,934) | KONAMI | |
 | Holdfast: Nations At War | older | $19.99 | 26,624 90% | 799k | $16M (exactly $15,966,413) | Anvil Game Studios |
 | STAR WARS™ Battlefront II (Classic, 2005) | older | $9.99 | 46,403 94% | 1.4M | $14M (exactly $13,906,979) | Pandemic Studios |
 | EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 6 | older | $59.99 | 6,225 69% | 187k | $11M (exactly $11,203,132) | SANDLOT |
 | Sniper Elite: Resistance | $49.99 | 4,825 75% | 145k | $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052) | Rebellion | |
 | Aliens: Fireteam Elite 2 | $49.99 | 3,515 61% | 105k | $5.3M (exactly $5,271,446) | Cold Iron Studios | |
 | Wild Assault | $14.99 | 3,861 68% | 116k | $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) | Combat Cat Studio | |
 | 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau | $9.99 | 2,780 92% | 83k | $833k (exactly $833,166) | Noto Muteki | |
 | Heroes of Valor | · EA | $14.99 | 1,324 90% | 40k | $595k (exactly $595,403) | Fancy Cat Interactive |
 | Bad 2 Bad: Apocalypse | $19.99 | 905 77% | 27k | $543k (exactly $542,728) | DAWINSTONE | |
 | Granvir | $14.99 | 842 90% | 25k | $379k (exactly $378,647) | Airborne Games | |
 | TOP DOG | $9.99 | 263 88% | 7.9k | $79k (exactly $78,821) | MorfeoDev | |
 | METAL GEAR SOLID: MASTER COLLECTION Vol.2 | $49.99 | 49 65% | 1.5k | $73k (exactly $73,485) | KONAMI |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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