Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Management Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Management

Only 16 developers shipped a Management Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Boss Gangster: Criminal Empire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×1.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×146 the market median. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 39 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $958 → $2.4k → $3.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,625)
Top 5% $219k (exactly $219,334)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 32
Announced 39
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 722 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $6.6k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Boat Crew · EA older $24.99 431 89% 13k $323k (exactly $323,121) Tabbing Tabby
Attack on Toys · EA older $6.99 1,158 93% 35k $243k (exactly $242,833) N7T-GAMES
The Boss Gangster: Criminal Empire · EA $18.99 385 81% 12k $219k (exactly $219,334) BEF GAMES
VOIDCRISIS older $29.99 122 54% 3.7k $110k (exactly $109,763) HEXADRIVE Inc.
Try to survive Today · EA $10.99 77 68% 2.3k $25k (exactly $25,387) VIVA
Valand older $7.99 54 59% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,944) LOMS Studio
Casino Boss Simulator $4.99 69 56% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,329) Nons Games
Tactical Command older $7.99 43 88% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,307) Hardy Games
Plastic Rebellion older $9.99 27 70% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Detalion Games S.A.
Deliverage $12.99 17 82% 510 $6.6k (exactly $6,625) Majao Games
Shoot The Barrels $1.99 103 72% 3.1k $6.1k (exactly $6,149) BATTLE LAB
Doctor Pigeon Simulator $4.00 26 84% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,120) Peperoni Games
Sidewalk Simulator · EA $3.99 22 95% 660 $2.6k (exactly $2,633) XCCWARE LLC
Mechanized Corps: Rebirth · EA $9.99 8 37% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) X10 Games Studios, Inc.
Fade Survival · EA $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Phoenix Gaming Studios
Lawnmower Game Battle 2: Reload $1.99 10 90% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.