Do I ship it?

GamesMMORPGMMORPG + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Inventory Management MMORPG?

MMORPG + Inventory Management

Only 5 developers shipped a paid Inventory Management MMORPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Path of Exile 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 28 more are announced, ×9.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $10k against a market of $1.3k. 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 28 announced, ×9.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $8.3k (exactly $8,342)
Median $10k (exactly $10,190)
Top 25% $61k (exactly $61,139)
Top 5% $151M (exactly $150,906,681)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 37
Announced 28
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 81%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, Inventory Management
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 7 games average 76% positive over 168,162 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $8.4k, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $61k, 1 in 20 over $150M.

3 in 10 developers made under $8.4k. 28 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Path of Exile 2 · EA $29.99 167,730 76% 5.0M $151M (exactly $150,906,681) Grinding Gear Games
Trolddom $9.99 204 94% 6.1k $61k (exactly $61,139) Plant Based Games
Skullborn · EA older $8.99 57 73% 1.7k $15k (exactly $15,373) Snubber
Guilds of Mountgate · EA $9.99 34 82% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Beaver Fever Games
The Auto Sort Is Broken $2.99 93 80% 2.8k $8.3k (exactly $8,342) Fractal Projects
Pillazon: MMO Drug Lord Tycoon · EA older $4.99 33 66% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) PiCorp
Fawe $6.99 11 72% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Jansen Bros Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.