Do I ship it?

GamesSimulationSimulation + Intentionally Awkward Controls

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Intentionally Awkward Controls Simulation game?

Simulation + Intentionally Awkward Controls

Only 12 developers shipped an Intentionally Awkward Controls Simulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Backseat Drivers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.4k against a market of $630. 7 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 415% on the market, 7 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Simulation + Intentionally Awkward Controls
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Simulation + Intentionally Awkward Controls: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $3.4k (exactly $3,443)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,548)
Top 5% $206k (exactly $205,894)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 49
Announced 7
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 415% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Simulation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Intentionally Awkward Controls
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Simulation, Intentionally Awkward Controls
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,501 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $3.4k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Simulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  2. + Escape RoomStrong odds36 devs · median $3.6k · 26 announced
  3. + World War IFair23 devs · median $32k · 32 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair285 devs · median $12k · 362 announced
  5. + LGBTQ+Fair272 devs · median $9.7k · 303 announced
  6. + PinballFair27 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair672 devs · median $5.1k · 754 announced
  8. + BirdsFair19 devs · median $3.8k · 16 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair387 devs · median $3.0k · 490 announced
  10. + MusicFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 92 announced
  11. + Auto BattlerFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  12. + ProgrammingFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced

All 287 pairs on the Simulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Surgeon Simulator older $9.99 13,796 82% 414k $4.1M (exactly $4,134,661) Bossa Studios
Octodad: Dadliest Catch older $14.99 9,101 94% 273k $4.1M (exactly $4,092,720) Young Horses
while True: learn() older $12.99 7,350 91% 221k $2.9M (exactly $2,864,295) Luden.io
Hand Simulator older $2.99 28,415 84% 852k $2.5M (exactly $2,548,826) HFM Games
I Am Bread older $12.99 4,793 78% 144k $1.9M (exactly $1,867,832) Bossa Studios
Stilt Fella older $12.99 794 92% 24k $309k (exactly $309,422) September Games
Backseat Drivers $9.99 687 78% 21k $206k (exactly $205,894) GhostJam Games, Deadcat Studios
Table Manners: Physics-Based Dating Game older $17.99 369 57% 11k $199k (exactly $199,149) Echo Chamber Games
Ampu-Tea older $4.99 808 67% 24k $121k (exactly $120,958) ProjectorGames
Simple Fish Adventure older $3.99 374 88% 11k $45k (exactly $44,768) LostVolBytes
Grandma, No! $14.99 77 89% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) WALLRIDE
Fingerdance $2.99 374 97% 11k $34k (exactly $33,548) zniq
ACUVAC: A Suck and Blow Adventure $14.99 54 98% 1.6k $24k (exactly $24,284) Curdle Games, Mr_Afroduck
Ells Tales: Chairbound $1.99 269 81% 8.1k $16k (exactly $16,059) Ells&Pills
Count Meowcula's Barbershop $4.99 23 100% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Gabiverse
Getting Over It with Your Body $9.99 4 25% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) BombGame
a Difficult game about Wheelchair $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) SATEKI GAMES
Ant Workers Simulator $2.99 3 66% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Achimphang Studio
Shopping Cart Pusher · EA $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Jack Li

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.