Games › Outbreak Sim › Outbreak Sim + Horror
Should I ship a Horror Outbreak Sim?
Outbreak Sim + Horror
Of 27 developers who shipped a Horror Outbreak Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $12M, ×25772 the market median. Revenue is up 630% on the market; 51 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $420 (exactly $420) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
| Top 25% | $98k (exactly $97,585) |
| Top 5% | $12M (exactly $12,241,733) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 81 |
| Announced | 51 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 630% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Horror
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Outbreak Sim; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Simulation, Action
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 48,008 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Outbreak Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RTSFair
- + ZombiesFair
- + Real Time TacticsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + Sci-fiLong shot
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + Time ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
No More Room in Hell 2 2026 · $15M 
No, I'm not a Human 2025 · $12M 
60 Seconds! Reatomized 2019 · $5.5M 
Dread Dawn 2024 · $1.3M 
Bio Inc. Redemption 2018 · $1.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | No More Room in Hell 2 | $29.99 | 16,725 62% | 502k | $15M (exactly $15,047,482) | Torn Banner Studios | |
| | No, I'm not a Human | $14.99 | 27,222 93% | 817k | $12M (exactly $12,241,733) | Trioskaz | |
| | 60 Seconds! Reatomized | older | $9.99 | 18,362 94% | 551k | $5.5M (exactly $5,503,091) | Robot Gentleman |
| | Dread Dawn | $19.99 | 2,113 71% | 63k | $1.3M (exactly $1,267,166) | Kioop | |
| | Bio Inc. Redemption | older | $12.99 | 3,051 87% | 92k | $1.2M (exactly $1,188,975) | DryGin Studios |
 | Shadows of Forbidden Gods | older | $19.99 | 1,046 91% | 31k | $627k (exactly $627,286) | Bobby Two Hands |
 | The Fabulous Fear Machine | older | $17.99 | 542 89% | 16k | $293k (exactly $292,517) | Fictiorama Studios |
 | MOLDRISE | $11.99 | 486 96% | 15k | $175k (exactly $174,814) | Raffaele Picca | |
 | SLEEP AWAKE | $29.99 | 164 71% | 4.9k | $148k (exactly $147,551) | EYES OUT, LLC. | |
 | Execute | $5.99 | 679 91% | 20k | $122k (exactly $122,016) | Payne Robinson | |
 | Infinite Lives | $14.99 | 217 76% | 6.5k | $98k (exactly $97,585) | MDickie | |
 | Survivor's Notes | $6.99 | 352 91% | 11k | $74k (exactly $73,814) | MYSTERY CROWN, YESPLAY | |
 | Day Zero | · EA | $4.99 | 39 79% | 1.2k | $5.8k (exactly $5,838) | Imdie Studios |
 | Backrooms: Partygoers | $11.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) | Mascot Bro Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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