Do I ship it?

GamesSimulationSimulation + Hidden Object

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hidden Object Simulation game?

Simulation + Hidden Object

Of 475 developers who shipped a Hidden Object Simulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 555 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 555 games are announced against 301 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 555 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Simulation + Hidden Object
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 475
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $896 → $1.9k → $2.4k → $1.9k → $1.2k → $1.5k → $898 (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Simulation + Hidden Object: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 475
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,689)
Top 5% $94k (exactly $93,553)
Developers, 2 yr 475
Released games 1,213
Announced 555
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Simulation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Simulation, Hidden Object; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Exploration, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 163,196 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $93k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 244 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 555 games are announced against 301 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Simulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds150 devs · median $55k · 81 announced
  2. + Escape RoomStrong odds36 devs · median $3.6k · 26 announced
  3. + World War IFair23 devs · median $32k · 32 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair285 devs · median $12k · 362 announced
  5. + LGBTQ+Fair272 devs · median $9.7k · 303 announced
  6. + PinballFair27 devs · median $8.2k · 28 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair672 devs · median $5.1k · 754 announced
  8. + BirdsFair19 devs · median $3.8k · 16 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair387 devs · median $3.0k · 490 announced
  10. + MusicFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 92 announced
  11. + Auto BattlerFair219 devs · median $2.5k · 293 announced
  12. + ProgrammingFair132 devs · median $2.2k · 174 announced

All 287 pairs on the Simulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MiSide $14.99 122,007 97% 3.7M $55M (exactly $54,866,548) AIHASTO
A Little to the Left older $14.99 16,885 91% 507k $7.6M (exactly $7,593,184) Max Inferno
The Mortuary Assistant older $24.99 7,269 92% 218k $5.4M (exactly $5,449,569) DarkStone Digital
Librarian: Tidy Up the Arcane Library! $5.99 24,497 94% 735k $4.4M (exactly $4,402,111) ArtRising
LEGO® Builder's Journey older $19.99 4,041 82% 121k $2.4M (exactly $2,423,388) Light Brick Studio
Whisper of the House $14.99 5,344 96% 160k $2.4M (exactly $2,403,197) 元气弹工作室(GD Studio)
I Expect You To Die older $24.99 2,169 95% 65k $1.6M (exactly $1,626,099) Schell Games
Agatha Christie - Murder on the Orient Express older $39.99 1,080 82% 32k $1.3M (exactly $1,295,676) Microids Studio Lyon
Dōkyūsei: Bangin' Summer older $19.99 1,809 93% 54k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,857) Elf, Shiravune
Minami Lane older $4.99 6,089 97% 183k $912k (exactly $911,523) Blibloop, Doot
Lushfoil Photography Sim $14.99 1,718 91% 52k $773k (exactly $772,585) Matt2
Approximately Up $24.99 995 93% 30k $746k (exactly $745,952) Approximately Games
Ship, Inc. $9.99 2,168 83% 65k $650k (exactly $649,750) Rogue Duck Interactive
Amerzone - The Explorer's Legacy $39.99 526 90% 16k $631k (exactly $631,042) Microids Studio Paris
Lost But Found $6.99 2,316 71% 69k $486k (exactly $485,665) Rogue Duck Interactive
Organized Inside $7.99 2,024 94% 61k $485k (exactly $485,153) Meox Studio
My Wife Threw Out My Card Collection (So I Bought a Dump to Find Them All) ⭐ $7.95 1,601 65% 48k $382k (exactly $381,838) Polnoch

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.