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Should I ship a Gambling Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Gambling
Only 12 developers shipped a Gambling Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, It's time, Your Majesty, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $16k, ×26 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $535 (exactly $535) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,888) |
| Top 5% | $16k (exactly $16,147) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Gambling
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game, Gambling
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 173 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
It's time, Your Majesty 2025 · $16k 
Sex Poker 2020 · $13k 
Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection 2026 · $5.7k 
The Ultimate Collector 2024 · EA · $1.9k 
Card Streamer Simulator 2025 · $1.5k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | It's time, Your Majesty | $6.99 | 77 64% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $16,147) | String studio | |
| | Sex Poker | older | $19.99 | 22 27% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Somavision Games |
| | Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection | $6.99 | 27 74% | 810 | $5.7k (exactly $5,662) | Violet Soft | |
| | The Ultimate Collector | · EA | $8.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $1.9k (exactly $1,888) | StariStudios |
| | Card Streamer Simulator | $2.99 | 17 52% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Scissors Game | |
 | Bud Masters - Battle Edition | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Other Account Games | |
 | The Lion Gambles Everything He Owns | $0.99 | 18 83% | 540 | $535 (exactly $535) | Simba | |
 | STAB! | · EA | $0.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $475 (exactly $475) | mightyraccoon! Studios |
 | YATTY - Dice Card Battle - | $4.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | yappy0110 | |
 | 2048 Royal Cards | older | $2.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $359 (exactly $359) | Mr.Davudov |
 | Lottery vs Aliens | $2.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | stephii | |
 | Fated All-In: Casino 5 Queens | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | TEAM OLDBOY_Levi |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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