Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Trading Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Card Game Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Trading Card Game

Only 18 developers shipped a Trading Card Game Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, TCG Card Shop Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $30k, ×20 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $4.6k. Revenue is up 1170% on the market; 13 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.1 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 20.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 1170% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Trading Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $77k → $9.4k → $30k (still earning) → $522k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Trading Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $4.7k (exactly $4,672)
Median $30k (exactly $30,010)
Top 25% $382k (exactly $381,838)
Top 5% $28M (exactly $28,399,993)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 29
Announced 13
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1170% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Trading Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Collectathon, Economy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 55,778 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.7k, median $30k, 1 in 4 over $380k, 1 in 20 over $28M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.7k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  3. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  4. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  5. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  7. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  8. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  10. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  11. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  12. + Time TravelFair20 devs · median $3.7k · 10 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TCG Card Shop Simulator $19.99 47,357 96% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,399,993) OPNeon Games
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer $11.99 1,609 82% 48k $579k (exactly $578,757) ShaneGame
KOTAMON: My Sis Found A Super-Rare Card In Her Cereal Box, So I Became A Garbage Man To Find The Entire Collection And Earn $1,000,000 $6.99 2,489 81% 75k $522k (exactly $521,943) KotaMota Games
Barro older $4.99 3,253 85% 98k $487k (exactly $486,974) SC Jogos
My Wife Threw Out My Card Collection (So I Bought a Dump to Find Them All) ⭐ $7.95 1,601 65% 48k $382k (exactly $381,838) Polnoch
Anime Shop Simulator ✨ $14.99 589 73% 18k $265k (exactly $264,873) One More Time
Barro Racing older $4.99 1,250 83% 38k $187k (exactly $187,125) SC Jogos
TCG Multiplayer Card Shop Simulator · EA $12.99 198 54% 5.9k $77k (exactly $77,161) Alkame Games
Sports Card Shop Simulator · EA $12.99 155 92% 4.7k $60k (exactly $60,404) OverPowered Team
Table Battle Simulator · EA $12.99 85 74% 2.6k $33k (exactly $33,124) Kiki Games
FeeBay Simulator $5.99 167 91% 5.0k $30k (exactly $30,010) Lake Country Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.