Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Trading Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Trading Card Game?

Co-op + Trading Card Game

Only 11 developers shipped a paid Co-op Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Anime Shop Simulator ✨, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 25 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.9k, ×3.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×177 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 25 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Trading Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op + Trading Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $1.9k (exactly $1,888)
Median $4.9k (exactly $4,940)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $23,384)
Top 5% $265k (exactly $264,873)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 39
Announced 25
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 49%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op, Trading Card Game
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 1,110 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.9k, median $4.9k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.9k. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tabletop Simulator older $19.99 46,875 95% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,110,937) Berserk Games
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Anime Shop Simulator ✨ $14.99 589 73% 18k $265k (exactly $264,873) One More Time
Aeon's End older $14.99 438 82% 13k $197k (exactly $196,969) Handelabra Games Inc.
TCG Multiplayer Card Shop Simulator · EA $12.99 198 54% 5.9k $77k (exactly $77,161) Alkame Games
Tabletop Playground · EA older $14.99 121 79% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) Plasticity Studios
CyberTD older $19.99 50 66% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Clockwork Origins
Fairtravel Battle CCG · EA $14.99 52 98% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Flaming Torch Games
Volleying older $1.99 358 70% 11k $21k (exactly $21,373) Gestalt Development Studio
Bomb Royale $4.99 127 62% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) Onur Doğan
Dig for TCG Cards With Your Friends $6.99 77 44% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) 3 Rare Devs
TRUCO BAR $4.99 33 81% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) LoboAnarquista, João Rafael Refatti Sil… (LoboAnarquista, João Rafael Refatti Silva)
CyCall · EA $12.99 8 75% 240 $3.1k (exactly $3,118) PzGames
The Ultimate Collector · EA $8.99 7 42% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) StariStudios
DraQu: Elemental Awakening · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) ALTF4 Games
STAB! · EA $0.99 16 100% 480 $475 (exactly $475) mightyraccoon! Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.