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Should I ship a Procedural Generation Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Procedural Generation
Only 10 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dream of Corpse Lady, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $10k, ×16 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $630k, ×1009 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $2.3k (exactly $2,310) |
|---|---|
| Median | $10k (exactly $10,195) |
| Top 25% | $34k (exactly $34,177) |
| Top 5% | $634k (exactly $633,866) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game, Procedural Generation
- Price point
- $12.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,830 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
Comparable games
Dream of Corpse Lady 2026 · $634k 
Nowhere Prophet 2019 · $541k 
Heroes Wanted 2024 · $320k 
Cardaclysm 2021 · $191k 
Variables 2 2021 · $188k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dream of Corpse Lady | $9.99 | 2,115 93% | 63k | $634k (exactly $633,866) | HT3 Studio | |
| | Nowhere Prophet | older | $24.99 | 721 77% | 22k | $541k (exactly $540,534) | Sharkbomb Studios |
| | Heroes Wanted | older | $19.99 | 533 81% | 16k | $320k (exactly $319,640) | Gameplete |
| | Cardaclysm | older | $14.99 | 425 64% | 13k | $191k (exactly $191,122) | Elder Games |
| | Variables 2 | older | $14.99 | 418 90% | 13k | $188k (exactly $187,975) | Asteroid Game Studio |
 | Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers | $9.99 | 543 65% | 16k | $163k (exactly $162,737) | Dino Rocket | |
 | Coin Crypt | older | $9.99 | 212 91% | 6.4k | $64k (exactly $63,536) | Wishes Ultd., Greg Lobanov |
 | Beyond Gravity | older | $1.99 | 789 88% | 24k | $47k (exactly $47,103) | Qwiboo Ltd |
 | Handmancers | · EA | $14.99 | 76 88% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $34,177) | 58BLADES |
 | Perfect Dice | older | $9.99 | 56 75% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $16,783) | Tilt Station |
 | Card Artisan | $12.99 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $14k (exactly $14,029) | Fullen Games | |
 | Areteion | $19.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | juxtapositioned | |
 | Millennium Strategy | $14.99 | 21 85% | 630 | $9.4k (exactly $9,444) | MiMo Games | |
 | Sketch Crawler | $7.00 | 11 72% | 330 | $2.3k (exactly $2,310) | Koan | |
 | Tavrik | $11.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | Nyra Games | |
 | AI PAINTER: Painting Simulator | $19.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Magic Cat | |
 | GuildMestar | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | OffPath LLC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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