Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Trading Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Trading Card Game?

Online Co-Op + Trading Card Game

Only 13 developers shipped a paid Online Co-Op Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Anime Shop Simulator ✨, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 36 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×2.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×177 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 36 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 36 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Trading Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Trading Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,118)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,012)
Top 5% $265k (exactly $264,873)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 39
Announced 36
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 450% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 46%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Trading Card Game
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 1,104 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 36 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tabletop Simulator older $19.99 46,875 95% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,110,937) Berserk Games
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Anime Shop Simulator ✨ $14.99 589 73% 18k $265k (exactly $264,873) One More Time
TCG Multiplayer Card Shop Simulator · EA $12.99 198 54% 5.9k $77k (exactly $77,161) Alkame Games
Tabletop Playground · EA older $14.99 121 79% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) Plasticity Studios
CyberTD older $19.99 50 66% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Clockwork Origins
Fairtravel Battle CCG · EA $14.99 52 98% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Flaming Torch Games
Volleying older $1.99 358 70% 11k $21k (exactly $21,373) Gestalt Development Studio
Bomb Royale $4.99 127 62% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) Onur Doğan
Dig for TCG Cards With Your Friends $6.99 77 44% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) 3 Rare Devs
TRUCO BAR $4.99 33 81% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) LoboAnarquista, João Rafael Refatti Sil… (LoboAnarquista, João Rafael Refatti Silva)
CyCall · EA $12.99 8 75% 240 $3.1k (exactly $3,118) PzGames
DraQu: Elemental Awakening · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) ALTF4 Games
STAB! · EA $0.99 16 100% 480 $475 (exactly $475) mightyraccoon! Studios
Aethercrypt $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) AtneGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.