Games › Sports › Sports + Gambling
Should I ship a Gambling Sports game?
Sports + Gambling
Of 20 developers who shipped a Gambling Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $53M, ×85763 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 22 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $479 (exactly $479) |
| Top 25% | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) |
| Top 5% | $54M (exactly $53,859,405) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 75 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Gambling; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Co-op, Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 67% positive over 29,734 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 6 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
NBA 2K25 2024 · $65M 
NBA 2K26 2025 · $54M 
NBA 2K27 2026 · $3.6M 
Cricket 22 2021 · $2.3M 
Poker Club 2020 · $303k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | NBA 2K25 | older | $69.99 | 30,969 60% | 929k | $65M (exactly $65,025,609) | Visual Concepts |
| | NBA 2K26 | $69.99 | 25,651 66% | 770k | $54M (exactly $53,859,405) | Visual Concepts | |
| | NBA 2K27 | $69.99 | 1,698 53% | 51k | $3.6M (exactly $3,565,291) | Visual Concepts | |
| | Cricket 22 | older | $44.99 | 1,717 81% | 52k | $2.3M (exactly $2,317,435) | Big Ant Studios |
| | Poker Club | older | $19.99 | 506 58% | 15k | $303k (exactly $303,448) | Ripstone |
 | Nine-Ball Roulette | $3.99 | 2,159 88% | 65k | $258k (exactly $258,432) | WaveBox Labs | |
 | Pure Hold'em | older | $17.99 | 110 46% | 3.3k | $59k (exactly $59,367) | VooFoo Studios |
 | Mahjong Nagomi | older | $4.99 | 245 79% | 7.4k | $37k (exactly $36,676) | Zoo Corporation |
 | Poker Pretty Girls Battle: Texas Hold'em | older | $4.99 | 118 56% | 3.5k | $18k (exactly $17,665) | Zoo Corporation |
 | Super Blackjack Battle 2 Turbo Edition - The Card Warriors | older | $11.99 | 48 58% | 1.4k | $17k (exactly $17,266) | Stage Clear Studios |
 | Break Shoot | $4.99 | 106 99% | 3.2k | $16k (exactly $15,868) | UPTRAND | |
 | Backyard Boxing | $7.99 | 49 48% | 1.5k | $12k (exactly $11,745) | Crime House Games, TheShadeGameDev | |
 | Real Roulette | $7.99 | 19 84% | 570 | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) | PixelFlood | |
 | Sunday League Manager: Horse and Spoon | $8.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $4.0k (exactly $4,046) | christianosway | |
 | Blackjack | · EA | $5.99 | 18 72% | 540 | $3.2k (exactly $3,235) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Casino Legends | $4.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $2.2k (exactly $2,246) | Pinch Games | |
 | Sleep Aid | $7.77 | 4 100% | 120 | $932 (exactly $932) | Summer Punk |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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