Should I ship an FPS MMORPG?
MMORPG + FPS
Only 12 developers shipped a paid FPS MMORPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, PIONER, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 28 more are announced, ×9.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $4.3k against a market of $1.3k. 28 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.3k (exactly $4,341) |
| Top 25% | $65k (exactly $65,367) |
| Top 5% | $2.9M (exactly $2,883,538) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3460% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 42%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MMORPG, FPS
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 61% positive over 3,956 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + MagicPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
Comparable games
Fallout 76 2020 · $94M 
Tom Clancy’s The Division™ 2016 · $69M 
Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet 2018 · $9.3M 
PIONER 2025 · EA · $2.9M 
Afterinfection 2025 · $125k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Fallout 76 | older | $39.99 | 78,346 74% | 2.4M | $94M (exactly $93,991,696) | Bethesda Game Studios |
| | Tom Clancy’s The Division™ | older | $29.99 | 76,985 72% | 2.3M | $69M (exactly $69,263,404) | Massive Entertainment |
| | Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet | older | $19.99 | 15,461 79% | 464k | $9.3M (exactly $9,271,962) | Dimps Corporation |
| | PIONER | · EA | $29.99 | 3,205 62% | 96k | $2.9M (exactly $2,883,538) | GFAGAMES |
| | Afterinfection | $8.99 | 463 56% | 14k | $125k (exactly $124,871) | RePatrick21 | |
 | Reaper Actual | · EA | $19.99 | 109 42% | 3.3k | $65k (exactly $65,367) | Distinct Possibility Studios, Inc. |
 | Riding Star - Horse Championship! | older | $9.99 | 102 69% | 3.1k | $31k (exactly $30,569) | Sproing |
 | OPG: Clan Wars | $9.99 | 101 74% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $30,270) | Anarchy Games, Street's Game | |
 | Kings Of Streets | · EA older | $4.99 | 132 53% | 4.0k | $20k (exactly $19,760) | TB Games |
 | Skullborn | · EA older | $8.99 | 57 73% | 1.7k | $15k (exactly $15,373) | Snubber |
 | The Dawn: Sniper's Way | $24.99 | 18 22% | 540 | $13k (exactly $13,495) | PHOSPHORUS GAMES | |
 | NO STRANGERS | $4.99 | 29 58% | 870 | $4.3k (exactly $4,341) | Xeirel Software | |
 | Venator Universe | · EA | $4.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Fullset Gaming |
 | Forbidden zone | $4.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Karuna | |
 | GGO 枪战火线 | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | 布工作室, Cloth Studio | |
 | HAPPY ZONE - Battle Royale | $0.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $148 (exactly $148) | Prtyroom |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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