Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Dystopian
Should I ship a Dystopian Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Dystopian
Of 25 developers who shipped a Dystopian Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 97 more are announced, ×7.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $19M, ×12838 the market median. Revenue is up 980% on the market; 97 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,435) |
| Top 25% | $29k (exactly $28,771) |
| Top 5% | $19M (exactly $19,231,987) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 98 |
| Announced | 97 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 980% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Dystopian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Atmospheric, Difficult
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 46,033 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 97 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
DEATH STRANDING 2: ON THE BEACH 2026 · $32M 
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Anniversary Edition 2011 · $22M 
Watch Dogs®: Legion 2023 · $21M 
The Forever Winter 2024 · EA · $19M 
SIGNALIS 2022 · $18M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DEATH STRANDING 2: ON THE BEACH | $69.99 | 15,434 94% | 463k | $32M (exactly $32,406,770) | KOJIMA PRODUCTIONS, Nixxes Software | |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Anniversary Edition | older | $39.99 | 18,455 92% | 554k | $22M (exactly $22,140,464) | Relic Entertainment |
| | Watch Dogs®: Legion | older | $59.99 | 11,891 56% | 357k | $21M (exactly $21,400,233) | Ubisoft Toronto |
| | The Forever Winter | · EA | $29.99 | 21,376 68% | 641k | $19M (exactly $19,231,987) | Fun Dog Studios |
| | SIGNALIS | older | $19.99 | 30,601 96% | 918k | $18M (exactly $18,351,420) | rose-engine |
 | Cronos: The New Dawn | $59.99 | 7,753 87% | 233k | $14M (exactly $13,953,074) | Bloober Team | |
 | AI＊Shoujo/AI＊少女 | older | $69.99 | 2,100 75% | 63k | $4.4M (exactly $4,409,370) | ILLUSION |
 | Binary Domain | older | $14.99 | 3,567 86% | 107k | $1.6M (exactly $1,604,080) | Devil's Details |
 | Rollerdrome | older | $29.99 | 1,486 91% | 45k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,954) | Roll7 |
 | Wanted: Dead | older | $29.99 | 1,373 67% | 41k | $1.2M (exactly $1,235,288) | Soleil Ltd. |
 | Cargo Hunters | · EA | $19.99 | 739 82% | 22k | $443k (exactly $443,178) | Order Of Meta |
 | Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine - Master Crafted Edition | $39.99 | 342 55% | 10k | $410k (exactly $410,297) | SneakyBox, Relic Entertainment | |
 | Tankenstein | · EA | $17.99 | 238 89% | 7.1k | $128k (exactly $128,449) | Landship Games LTD |
 | Fear Effect | $9.99 | 96 78% | 2.9k | $29k (exactly $28,771) | Implicit Conversions | |
 | Fear Effect 2: Retro Helix | $9.99 | 23 86% | 690 | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) | Implicit Conversions | |
 | CyberpunkXXX | $9.99 | 21 33% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | GAMERFLEX Studios | |
 | NEUROXUS | $12.99 | 11 63% | 330 | $4.3k (exactly $4,287) | Empyreum Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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