Games › Outbreak Sim › Outbreak Sim + Dystopian
Should I ship a Dystopian Outbreak Sim?
Outbreak Sim + Dystopian
Only 11 developers shipped a Dystopian Outbreak Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, After Inc: Revival, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×3.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $790k, ×1682 the market median. Revenue is up 12070% on the market; 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 25% | $124k (exactly $123,538) |
| Top 5% | $799k (exactly $798,756) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 12070% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Dystopian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Outbreak Sim
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 80% positive over 2,582 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Outbreak Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RTSFair
- + ZombiesFair
- + Real Time TacticsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + Sci-fiLong shot
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + Time ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Infection Free Zone | · EA older | $24.99 | 16,568 80% | 497k | $12M (exactly $12,421,030) | Jutsu Games |
| | After Inc: Revival | $17.99 | 1,480 77% | 44k | $799k (exactly $798,756) | Ndemic Creations | |
| | Shadows of Forbidden Gods | older | $19.99 | 1,046 91% | 31k | $627k (exactly $627,286) | Bobby Two Hands |
| | Project Planet - Earth vs Humanity | older | $24.99 | 361 78% | 11k | $271k (exactly $270,642) | Fifth Harbour Studios |
| | This Is the President | older | $14.99 | 359 67% | 11k | $161k (exactly $161,442) | SuperPAC |
| | EVOTINCTION | older | $29.99 | 173 86% | 5.2k | $156k (exactly $155,648) | Spikewave Games |
| | SLEEP AWAKE | $29.99 | 164 71% | 4.9k | $148k (exactly $147,551) | EYES OUT, LLC. | |
| | Extinction Day | $19.99 | 206 74% | 6.2k | $124k (exactly $123,538) | DryGin Studios | |
| | Execute | $5.99 | 679 91% | 20k | $122k (exactly $122,016) | Payne Robinson | |
| | Quarantineer | older | $9.99 | 307 80% | 9.2k | $92k (exactly $92,008) | Papaonn |
| | Day Zero | · EA | $4.99 | 39 79% | 1.2k | $5.8k (exactly $5,838) | Imdie Studios |
| | Supreme Ruler Global Outbreak | $19.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | BattleGoat Studios | |
| | GlobalQuarantine | $4.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Contagio Games | |
| | A Game About AI | $3.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | TaleHammer | |
| | Signal Zero | $2.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Hollow Frame | |
| | Dying Reign | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Bryce |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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