Do I ship it?

Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Dungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dungeon Crawler Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Dungeon Crawler

Only 18 developers shipped a Dungeon Crawler Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mistfall Hunter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper, while revenue is down 75% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 35 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $713 → $898 → $5.8k → $180 (still earning) → $33k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,452)
Top 5% $12M (exactly $12,028,936)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 45
Announced 35
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Dungeon Crawler; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action RPG, Action-Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 57% positive over 18,161 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $12M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Mistfall Hunter 2026 · $12M Heaven Dust 2 2022 · $347k Dark Hunting Ground 2025 · $300k LIFE EFFECT Survival 2026 · EA · $219k The Bleakest Keep 2025 · $215k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mistfall Hunter $24.99 16,045 53% 481k $12M (exactly $12,028,936) Bellring Games
Heaven Dust 2 older $14.99 771 90% 23k $347k (exactly $346,719) One Gruel Studio
Dark Hunting Ground $12.99 771 92% 23k $300k (exactly $300,459) BingX
LIFE EFFECT Survival · EA $14.99 488 85% 15k $219k (exactly $219,454) LIFE EFFECT
The Bleakest Keep $9.99 719 90% 22k $215k (exactly $215,484) Cache of Bones
Hunted: The Demon’s Forge™ older $4.99 1,140 76% 34k $171k (exactly $170,658) inXile Entertainment
SHRIMP GAME: OVERKRILL $11.99 93 89% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,452) GasGod Games, GLUE MAN
Outbreak older $9.99 103 66% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,869) Dead Drop Studios LLC
Town Of The Dead Life 死寂之城 older $5.99 159 66% 4.8k $29k (exactly $28,572) Binary Brew Studios
Death Below older $9.99 63 58% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) Soft
Dread Protocol · EA $7.99 24 83% 720 $5.8k (exactly $5,753) Meat Lab
Evil World HOPSCA $12.99 4 0% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) XU RENYU
RAGDOLL UNIVERSE · EA $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) MageC
Bones&Darks $1.99 6 50% 180 $358 (exactly $358) Ahnes Studios
Cliché Horror 2000s: The Witch’s Lair $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) High Room Game studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.