Games › MMORPG › MMORPG + Dragons
Should I ship a Dragon MMORPG?
MMORPG + Dragons
Only 2 developers shipped a paid Dragon MMORPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 5 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 21 more are announced, ×21 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $140k against a market of $1.3k. 21 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) |
| Top 25% | $2.2k (exactly $2,248) |
| Top 5% | $144k (exactly $143,928) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 44 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 73%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MMORPG
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 68,110 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 2 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×21 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MMORPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + MagicPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DRAGON BALL XENOVERSE 2 | older | $19.99 | 45,155 90% | 1.4M | $27M (exactly $27,079,453) | QLOC, Dimps Corporation |
| | Dark and Light | · EA older | $17.99 | 10,577 51% | 317k | $5.7M (exactly $5,708,407) | Snail Games USA |
| | Day of Dragons | · EA older | $19.99 | 6,278 68% | 188k | $3.8M (exactly $3,764,917) | Beawesome Games |
| | Citadel: Forged with Fire | older | $14.99 | 5,004 67% | 150k | $2.3M (exactly $2,250,299) | Blue Isle Studios |
| | Draconia | · EA older | $19.99 | 798 64% | 24k | $479k (exactly $478,561) | Draconia Dev Team |
| | Embers Adrift | $19.99 | 240 69% | 7.2k | $144k (exactly $143,928) | Stormhaven Studios | |
| | 神徒 | older | $3.99 | 39 71% | 1.2k | $4.7k (exactly $4,668) | 陈世杰 |
| | Paramount Hero | · EA older | $14.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $2.2k (exactly $2,248) | Graham Darcey |
| | Dragon's Hoard | older | $4.99 | 9 55% | 270 | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) | Kreg |
| | 猎人修仙传 Hunter Immortal | $7.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | blues |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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