Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Detective
Should I ship a Detective Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Detective
Only 9 developers shipped a Detective Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Sinking City 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×6.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper, while revenue is down 55% on the market.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $17,993) |
| Top 5% | $2.1M (exactly $2,114,577) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Detective
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 128,803 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Batman™: Arkham Origins 2013 · $27M 
L.A. Noire 2011 · $19M 
Danganronpa Another Episode: Ultra Despair Girls 2017 · $6.7M 
The Sinking City Remastered 2021 · $6.4M 
Max Payne 2011 · $3.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Batman™: Arkham Origins | older | $19.99 | 45,536 90% | 1.4M | $27M (exactly $27,307,939) | WB Games Montreal, Splash Damage |
| | L.A. Noire | older | $19.99 | 31,099 85% | 933k | $19M (exactly $18,650,070) | Team Bondi, Rockstar Leeds |
| | Danganronpa Another Episode: Ultra Despair Girls | older | $29.99 | 7,405 81% | 222k | $6.7M (exactly $6,662,278) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. |
| | The Sinking City Remastered | older | $39.99 | 5,361 75% | 161k | $6.4M (exactly $6,431,592) | Frogwares |
| | Max Payne | older | $9.99 | 12,773 88% | 383k | $3.8M (exactly $3,828,068) | Remedy Entertainment |
 | Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne | older | $9.99 | 12,102 93% | 363k | $3.6M (exactly $3,626,969) | Remedy Entertainment |
 | Deadly Premonition: The Director's Cut | older | $24.99 | 3,243 65% | 97k | $2.4M (exactly $2,431,277) | Rising Star Games |
 | Alan Wake's American Nightmare | older | $8.99 | 8,352 74% | 251k | $2.3M (exactly $2,252,534) | Remedy Entertainment |
 | The Sinking City 2 | $49.99 | 1,410 83% | 42k | $2.1M (exactly $2,114,577) | Frogwares | |
 | West Hunt | older | $9.99 | 1,522 84% | 46k | $456k (exactly $456,143) | NewGen |
 | KILLER INN | · EA | $9.99 | 670 44% | 20k | $201k (exactly $200,799) | Square Enix, Tactic Studios |
 | Outbreak: Shades of Horror Chromatic Split | $24.99 | 24 50% | 720 | $18k (exactly $17,993) | Dead Drop Studios LLC | |
 | Limb Chopper | $9.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Jade Pixel Games | |
 | Bloodplague Lockdown | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Speed King Games | |
 | SUSPECTO | · EA | $5.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | YORQ Studios |
 | Murder&Spies | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | navlikesbunnies | |
 | Fortune | $15.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | BiKun | |
 | Stealth Employee | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Mr. Lemon Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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