Do I ship it?

GamesThird-Person ShooterThird-Person Shooter + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Demons

Of 26 developers who shipped a Demon Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 55 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper, while revenue is up 80% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 55 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $750 → $180 → $4.5k → $420 → $358 → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $6.1k (exactly $6,115)
Top 5% $392k (exactly $392,093)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 75
Announced 55
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 1,758 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $6.1k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Evil West older $49.99 10,215 74% 306k $15M (exactly $15,319,436) Flying Wild Hog
Zombie Army 4: Dead War older $49.99 10,028 86% 301k $15M (exactly $15,038,992) Rebellion
Saints Row: Gat out of Hell older $14.99 7,701 75% 231k $3.5M (exactly $3,463,140) Deep Silver Volition, High Voltage Soft… (Deep Silver Volition, High Voltage Software)
HELLGATE: London older $12.99 2,219 57% 67k $865k (exactly $864,744) T3Entertainment
Shadow Man Remastered older $19.99 1,368 94% 41k $820k (exactly $820,390) Nightdive Studios, Acclaim Studios Tees… (Nightdive Studios, Acclaim Studios Teesside)
Trench Tales · EA $24.99 601 69% 18k $451k (exactly $450,570) Talking Drums
Shadows of the Damned: Hella Remastered $24.99 523 88% 16k $392k (exactly $392,093) GRASSHOPPER MANUFACTURE INC.
The Haunted: Hells Reach older $8.99 546 84% 16k $147k (exactly $147,256) KTX Software
Dread X Collection 4: The Hunt older $9.99 379 88% 11k $114k (exactly $113,586) DreadXP, David Szymanski, Christopher Y… (DreadXP, David Szymanski, Christopher Yabsley, KIRA, Philisophic Games, Dan McGrath, TorpleDook, Abbey 'Scruncho' Smith, Vidas Salavejus, Redact Games, Wayward Preacher, Mr. Pink, Aaron Wise)
Endgame: Road To Salvation · EA older $11.99 156 97% 4.7k $56k (exactly $56,113) Indie/Anon Games
Welcome to Doll Town $4.99 351 42% 11k $53k (exactly $52,545) Bad Wish Games
The Last Citadel $14.99 70 85% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) Honest Demon
Nun of your Business $5.99 126 73% 3.8k $23k (exactly $22,642) Revolt Games
除邪2(CHUXIE2) $6.99 44 40% 1.3k $9.2k (exactly $9,227) LCGaming
The Dreaded Hut $11.99 17 94% 510 $6.1k (exactly $6,115) Gnaw Paw Studios
The Mansion of The Macabre $14.99 10 20% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Team Tatou
Evil Of Fate · EA $4.99 11 54% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Route Games
Datura Time $7.99 5 80% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Vladeta Stojanovic

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.