Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Crime
Should I ship a Crime Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Crime
Only 19 developers shipped a Crime Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $180M, ×126597 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 72 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,793) |
| Top 5% | $190M (exactly $189,642,365) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 91 |
| Announced | 72 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Crime
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Combat
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Atmospheric, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 233,287 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced 2025 · $190M 
Watch_Dogs® 2 2016 · $143M 
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition 2020 · $108M 
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020 · $107M 
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition 2014 · $42M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced | $29.99 | 210,784 83% | 6.3M | $190M (exactly $189,642,365) | Rockstar North | |
| | Watch_Dogs® 2 | older | $49.99 | 95,242 82% | 2.9M | $143M (exactly $142,834,427) | Ubisoft |
| | Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition | older | $19.99 | 180,637 83% | 5.4M | $108M (exactly $108,328,009) | Rockstar North, Rockstar Toronto |
| | Mafia: Definitive Edition | older | $39.99 | 88,955 86% | 2.7M | $107M (exactly $106,719,314) | Hangar 13 |
| | Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition | older | $19.99 | 70,499 94% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $42,278,250) | United Front Games, Feral Interactive (… (United Front Games, Feral Interactive (Mac)) |
 | Mafia III: Definitive Edition | older | $29.99 | 41,612 57% | 1.2M | $37M (exactly $37,438,316) | Hangar 13, Aspyr (Mac) |
 | Mafia II (Classic) | older | $29.99 | 36,389 92% | 1.1M | $33M (exactly $32,739,183) | 2K Czech |
 | Mafia: The Old Country | $49.99 | 20,909 71% | 627k | $31M (exactly $31,357,227) | Hangar 13 | |
 | Hitman: Absolution™ | older | $19.99 | 49,637 93% | 1.5M | $30M (exactly $29,767,309) | Io-Interactive A/S |
 | Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas – The Definitive Edition | older | $59.99 | 15,628 80% | 469k | $28M (exactly $28,125,712) | Rockstar Games |
 | Vivat Slovakia | $19.99 | 827 50% | 25k | $496k (exactly $495,952) | Team Vivat | |
 | The Boss Gangster: Criminal Empire | · EA | $18.99 | 385 81% | 12k | $219k (exactly $219,334) | BEF GAMES |
 | Oxide Room 208 | $29.99 | 22 31% | 660 | $20k (exactly $19,793) | WildSphere | |
 | Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance | $6.99 | 86 55% | 2.6k | $18k (exactly $18,034) | zzzgame | |
 | Antikiller | $8.99 | 56 64% | 1.7k | $15k (exactly $15,103) | Qbik Interactive | |
 | Ultra Cop | $1.99 | 195 89% | 5.9k | $12k (exactly $11,642) | JG Roos | |
 | Deliverage | $12.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $6.6k (exactly $6,625) | Majao Games | |
 | Limb Chopper | $9.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Jade Pixel Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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