Do I ship it?

GamesMMORPGMMORPG + Creature Collector

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Creature Collector MMORPG?

MMORPG + Creature Collector

Only 4 developers shipped a paid Creature Collector MMORPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 8 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 30 more are announced, ×30 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $41k against a market of $1.3k. 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 30.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 30 announced, ×30 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MMORPG + Creature Collector
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MMORPG + Creature Collector: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Median $31k (exactly $31,036)
Top 25% $71k (exactly $71,222)
Top 5% $206k (exactly $205,963)
Developers, 4 yr 8
Released games 33
Announced 30
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 52%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MMORPG
effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MMORPG, Creature Collector
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 32,477 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.3k, median $31k, 1 in 4 over $71k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.3k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×30 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootPoor odds8 devs · median $253k · 57 announced
  2. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  3. + SandboxPoor odds15 devs · median $144k · 107 announced
  4. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  5. + CraftingPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  6. + MagicPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 109 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds15 devs · median $65k · 130 announced
  8. + FantasyPoor odds27 devs · median $61k · 232 announced
  9. + Class-BasedPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds33 devs · median $52k · 252 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds28 devs · median $52k · 217 announced
  12. + ExplorationPoor odds24 devs · median $52k · 213 announced

All 71 pairs on the MMORPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Temtem older $44.99 31,263 82% 938k $42M (exactly $42,195,671) Crema
Lugh World · EA $14.99 458 68% 14k $206k (exactly $205,963) Lughsoft
Athos · EA older $24.99 95 58% 2.9k $71k (exactly $71,222) Neojac Entertainment Inc.
Spire Horizon Online $3.99 343 64% 10k $41k (exactly $41,057) Mendoka
Para Ark older $6.99 148 91% 4.4k $31k (exactly $31,036) ST Hot Dog King
Wild Alone $10.99 38 47% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,529) Wild Alone 21
Venator Universe · EA $4.99 22 63% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Fullset Gaming
Flower Design older $0.99 84 60% 2.5k $2.5k (exactly $2,495) PanGuoJun
Sokfest older $4.99 15 93% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) Sokpop Collective
Gverse · EA older $0.99 11 45% 330 $327 (exactly $327) GalaxyVerse

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.