Games › MMORPG › MMORPG + Combat
Should I ship a Combat MMORPG?
MMORPG + Combat
Only 9 developers shipped a paid Combat MMORPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fellowship, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 155 more are announced, ×26 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×2.2 the market's $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $11M, ×8547 the market median. Revenue is up 66280% on the market; 155 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 25% | $111k (exactly $110,589) |
| Top 5% | $12M (exactly $11,513,143) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 159 |
| Announced | 155 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 66280% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 79%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MMORPG, Combat
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 65% positive over 38,938 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 155 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×26 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MMORPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + MagicPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mortal Online 2 | older | $39.99 | 11,103 59% | 333k | $13M (exactly $13,320,269) | Star Vault AB |
| | Fellowship | · EA | $24.99 | 15,357 74% | 461k | $12M (exactly $11,513,143) | Chief Rebel |
| | Day of Dragons | · EA older | $19.99 | 6,278 68% | 188k | $3.8M (exactly $3,764,917) | Beawesome Games |
| | SpiritVale | · EA | $14.99 | 4,755 48% | 143k | $2.1M (exactly $2,138,324) | Baikun Interactive |
| | Camelot Unchained | · EA | $9.99 | 369 38% | 11k | $111k (exactly $110,589) | Unchained Entertainment |
| | Tru Or Die | older | $9.99 | 336 52% | 10k | $101k (exactly $100,699) | Tru Hunnit |
| | The Adventurer's Domain Online | · EA older | $15.99 | 207 65% | 6.2k | $99k (exactly $99,298) | Unbalanced Equations |
| | The Wolf | older | $9.99 | 186 68% | 5.6k | $56k (exactly $55,744) | Good Luck Games |
| | Arcane Vale | older | $11.99 | 146 73% | 4.4k | $53k (exactly $52,516) | Dynamic Zero |
| | The Infinite Black 2 | older | $6.99 | 201 87% | 6.0k | $42k (exactly $42,150) | Spellbook |
| | Spire Horizon Online | $3.99 | 343 64% | 10k | $41k (exactly $41,057) | Mendoka | |
| | Kalnazar | $9.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | RobotsGames | |
| | Stellar Odyssey | · EA | $14.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Warp Studios Pty Ltd |
| | Arobynn: Sword of Adventure | $4.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Jace Of Shadows Gaming LLC | |
| | Yuki Onna: Snowball Fight! | $1.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | YStar | |
| | GGO 枪战火线 | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | 布工作室, Cloth Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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