Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Choose Your Own Adventure
Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 17 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Many Nights a Whisper, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $62k, ×42 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 35 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $597 (exactly $597) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,336) |
| Top 25% | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) |
| Top 5% | $63k (exactly $62,700) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 62 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter, Choose Your Own Adventure; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Atmospheric, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 997 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Watch Dogs®: Legion 2023 · $21M 
Fictorum 2017 · $310k 
Rabbit Hole 2022 · $63k 
Many Nights a Whisper 2025 · $63k 
Grand Pigeon's Duty 2016 · $54k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Watch Dogs®: Legion | older | $59.99 | 11,891 56% | 357k | $21M (exactly $21,400,233) | Ubisoft Toronto |
| | Fictorum | older | $9.99 | 1,034 78% | 31k | $310k (exactly $309,890) | Scraping Bottom Games |
| | Rabbit Hole | older | $7.99 | 264 78% | 7.9k | $63k (exactly $63,281) | Nikita Ustinov, Nikolay Lazarev |
| | Many Nights a Whisper | $2.99 | 699 94% | 21k | $63k (exactly $62,700) | Deconstructeam, Selkie Harbour | |
| | Grand Pigeon's Duty | older | $3.99 | 448 76% | 13k | $54k (exactly $53,626) | WolfgangIs |
 | Deliria | $9.99 | 136 61% | 4.1k | $41k (exactly $40,759) | Linesway | |
 | Welcome Back To 2007 | older | $4.99 | 227 77% | 6.8k | $34k (exactly $33,982) | Siberian Mouse |
 | Old Future: Post-Apocalyptic Times | · EA older | $12.99 | 38 52% | 1.1k | $15k (exactly $14,809) | Frontline: Games Series |
 | Wild Alone | $10.99 | 38 47% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,529) | Wild Alone 21 | |
 | Wasteland with Robots | $9.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $10k (exactly $10,190) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Survalker | $9.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Skuf vs beer bottle party | $9.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Roten | · EA | $9.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | SolarBlue |
 | VILOVEJETS | $9.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Polka Studio | |
 | Venator Universe | · EA | $4.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Fullset Gaming |
 | Big Theft Valkeala | $2.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Kendall Studios) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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