Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Choices Matter
Should I ship a Choices Matter Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Choices Matter
Of 26 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 96 more are announced, ×5.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 96 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 70% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $598 (exactly $598) |
| Top 25% | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 5% | $19M (exactly $19,231,987) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 26 |
| Released games | 92 |
| Announced | 96 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 170% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter, Choices Matter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 71% positive over 37,673 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 96 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition 2021 · $112M 
Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy 2021 · $64M 
Senren＊Banka 2020 · $35M 
Quantum Break 2016 · $28M 
Star Wars Outlaws 2024 · $26M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition | older | $59.99 | 62,205 91% | 1.9M | $112M (exactly $111,950,338) | BioWare |
| | Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy | older | $59.99 | 35,397 93% | 1.1M | $64M (exactly $63,703,981) | Eidos-Montréal |
| | Senren＊Banka | older | $34.99 | 33,721 98% | 1.0M | $35M (exactly $35,396,934) | YUZUSOFT |
| | Quantum Break | older | $39.99 | 23,141 86% | 694k | $28M (exactly $27,762,258) | Remedy Entertainment |
| | Star Wars Outlaws | $69.99 | 12,268 71% | 368k | $26M (exactly $25,759,120) | Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio | |
 | Mass Effect™: Andromeda Deluxe Edition | older | $39.99 | 16,741 73% | 502k | $20M (exactly $20,084,178) | BioWare |
 | The Forever Winter | · EA | $29.99 | 21,376 68% | 641k | $19M (exactly $19,231,987) | Fun Dog Studios |
 | Mass Effect (2007) | older | $29.99 | 14,871 93% | 446k | $13M (exactly $13,379,439) | BioWare |
 | ELEX | older | $29.99 | 12,443 72% | 373k | $11M (exactly $11,194,967) | Piranha Bytes |
 | Crab Champions | · EA older | $9.99 | 26,546 97% | 796k | $8.0M (exactly $7,955,836) | Noisestorm |
 | The Thing: Remastered | $29.99 | 1,203 89% | 36k | $1.1M (exactly $1,082,339) | Nightdive Studios, Computer Artworks | |
 | The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time | $14.99 | 2,361 90% | 71k | $1.1M (exactly $1,061,742) | That Fish, That Other Fish | |
 | SWAPMEAT | $16.49 | 304 86% | 9.1k | $150k (exactly $150,389) | One More Game | |
 | The Left Behind | $10.99 | 116 23% | 3.5k | $38k (exactly $38,245) | Extrude | |
 | Assassin Of Dombardos | $9.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Saylor Games | |
 | Despot Zombie | $3.99 | 18 66% | 540 | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) | Moonstar Games | |
 | Hive Havoc 3D | $3.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) | Digital Dialysis Softworks | |
 | STEEL SERAPHIM: PROVING GROUNDS | $6.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | TYPE THREE INDUSTRIES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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