Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Bullet Time
Should I ship a Bullet Time Third-Person Shooter?
Third-Person Shooter + Bullet Time
Of 24 developers who shipped a Bullet Time Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 54 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper, while revenue is down 80% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $898 (exactly $898) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,790) |
| Top 5% | $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 95 |
| Announced | 54 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Third-Person Shooter, Bullet Time; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Shooter, Action, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cinematic, Fast-Paced
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 8,328 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + WesternFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + Time ManagementLong shot
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Creature CollectorPoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
Comparable games
Max Payne 3 2012 · $33M 
Quantum Break 2016 · $28M 
Vanquish 2017 · $4.2M 
Max Payne 2011 · $3.8M 
Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne 2008 · $3.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Max Payne 3 | older | $19.99 | 55,150 86% | 1.7M | $33M (exactly $33,073,455) | Rockstar Studios |
| | Quantum Break | older | $39.99 | 23,141 86% | 694k | $28M (exactly $27,762,258) | Remedy Entertainment |
| | Vanquish | older | $19.99 | 6,974 89% | 209k | $4.2M (exactly $4,182,308) | PlatinumGames, Little Stone Software |
| | Max Payne | older | $9.99 | 12,773 88% | 383k | $3.8M (exactly $3,828,068) | Remedy Entertainment |
| | Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne | older | $9.99 | 12,102 93% | 363k | $3.6M (exactly $3,626,969) | Remedy Entertainment |
 | Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army | older | $14.99 | 3,557 88% | 107k | $1.6M (exactly $1,599,583) | Rebellion |
 | Suit for Hire | $14.99 | 3,263 92% | 98k | $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371) | Godmode Interactive | |
 | Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army 2 | older | $14.99 | 3,020 84% | 91k | $1.4M (exactly $1,358,094) | · |
 | GUN™ | older | $19.99 | 2,102 91% | 63k | $1.3M (exactly $1,260,569) | Neversoft |
 | Wanted: Dead | older | $29.99 | 1,373 67% | 41k | $1.2M (exactly $1,235,288) | Soleil Ltd. |
 | Killer Bean | · EA | $14.99 | 2,272 73% | 68k | $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) | Killer Bean Studios LLC |
 | Grandpa High on Retro | $7.99 | 2,068 88% | 62k | $496k (exactly $495,700) | Ashnell Games | |
 | Gun Frog | $4.99 | 433 94% | 13k | $65k (exactly $64,820) | Zoteling | |
 | Book Shooter | $6.99 | 107 86% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | SOS GameLab. | |
 | Source Code | $19.99 | 33 60% | 990 | $20k (exactly $19,790) | Blitzball.Inc | |
 | KUNKUN League | $2.99 | 123 98% | 3.7k | $11k (exactly $11,033) | Seal | |
 | CYBER92 DATAWAR | $9.92 | 14 50% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,166) | Cyber92 Solo Developer | |
 | Cyborg City | $12.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $3.5k (exactly $3,507) | Cyborg Dreams | |
 | Golfslinger | $7.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Chaos Cactus |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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