Do I ship it?

Games › Third-Person Shooter › Third-Person Shooter + Building

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Building Third-Person Shooter?

Third-Person Shooter + Building

Of 43 developers who shipped a Building Third-Person Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 98 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $980, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270. 98 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 35% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 98 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Third-Person Shooter + Building
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $2.3k → $719 → $2.4k → $179 → $2.2k → $538 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Third-Person Shooter + Building: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $267 (exactly $267)
Median $980 (exactly $980)
Top 25% $6.5k (exactly $6,475)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,267,166)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 132
Announced 98
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Third-Person Shooter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Third-Person Shooter, Building; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Sandbox, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 421,164 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $980, 1 in 4 over $6.4k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 98 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Third-Person Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  2. + WesternFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  3. + CollectathonLong shot19 devs · median $599 · 20 announced
  4. + Time ManagementLong shot15 devs · median $538 · 12 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot27 devs · median $479 · 27 announced
  6. + Class-BasedPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  7. + Creature CollectorPoor odds12 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  8. + DinosaursPoor odds8 devs · median $9.0k · 14 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds38 devs · median $7.2k · 63 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds12 devs · median $6.9k · 70 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $6.9k · 14 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds65 devs · median $5.1k · 156 announced

All 163 pairs on the Third-Person Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Palworld 2026 · $371M Sprocket 2021 · EA · $7.4M AI＊Shoujo/AI＊少女 2020 · $4.4M DeadPoly 2022 · EA · $1.6M s&box 2026 · $1.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Palworld $29.99 411,947 94% 12M $371M (exactly $370,628,716) Pocketpair
Sprocket · EA older $19.99 12,336 92% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) Hamish Dunn
AI＊Shoujo/AI＊少女 older $69.99 2,100 75% 63k $4.4M (exactly $4,409,370) ILLUSION
DeadPoly · EA older $9.99 5,384 78% 162k $1.6M (exactly $1,613,585) TFL Games
s&box $9.99 5,118 46% 154k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,865) Facepunch Studios
Dread Dawn $19.99 2,113 71% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,267,166) Kioop
Brickadia · EA $19.99 1,269 81% 38k $761k (exactly $761,019) Brickadia, LLC
How To Survive: Third Person Standalone older $9.99 1,134 56% 34k $340k (exactly $339,860) Eko Software
Waves of Steel older $19.99 408 90% 12k $245k (exactly $244,678) TMA Games LLC
Attack on Toys · EA older $6.99 1,158 93% 35k $243k (exactly $242,833) N7T-GAMES
The Boss Gangster: Criminal Empire · EA $18.99 385 81% 12k $219k (exactly $219,334) BEF GAMES
Deliria $9.99 136 61% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) Linesway
Ice World $9.99 111 57% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) CoolRabbit Games
Layer Land · EA $29.99 24 33% 720 $22k (exactly $21,593) PUDDING Co. Ltd.
Source Code $19.99 33 60% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Blitzball.Inc
Puropu Defense Squad $9.99 28 57% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) PlayTogether Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.